2017-09-30 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team           Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Alabama        Sout ( 5- 0) 205.31  5W 167.23 ( 26)  46.20 (  8)   8.60 (  1)
    2  Cent Florida   Amer ( 3- 0) 203.11  3W 159.36 ( 68)  46.33 (  7)  13.33 (  7)
    3  Oklahoma        Big ( 4- 0) 202.03  4W 159.88 ( 66)  48.00 (  4)  19.50 ( 32)
    4  Auburn         Sout ( 4- 1) 201.28  3W 157.90 ( 79)  34.20 ( 49)  11.00 (  6)
    5  Georgia        Sout ( 5- 0) 198.76  5W 169.20 ( 21)  33.00 ( 53)   9.20 (  2)
    6  Clemson        Atla ( 5- 0) 197.08  5W 172.03 ( 10)  36.40 ( 34)  10.80 (  4)
    7  Washington     Paci ( 5- 0) 196.84  5W 155.05 (100)  44.00 ( 10)  10.80 (  5)
    8  Miami FL       Atla ( 3- 0) 195.80  3W 161.95 ( 54)  41.33 ( 18)  16.33 ( 17)
    9  TCU             Big ( 4- 0) 195.04  4W 163.17 ( 49)  47.75 (  5)  18.50 ( 26)
   10  Notre Dame     Divi ( 4- 1) 193.55  3W 169.77 ( 17)  41.40 ( 14)  18.20 ( 23)
   11  Penn State      Big ( 5- 0) 190.77  5W 159.46 ( 67)  41.40 ( 17)   9.40 (  3)
   12  Oklahoma St     Big ( 4- 1) 190.51  1W 167.56 ( 25)  46.80 (  6)  26.00 ( 69)
   13  Ohio State      Big ( 4- 1) 188.24  3W 169.69 ( 18)  42.60 ( 11)  16.00 ( 16)
   14  Southern Cal   Paci ( 4- 1) 185.08  1L 173.93 (  3)  35.00 ( 41)  25.80 ( 68)
   15  Michigan        Big ( 4- 0) 183.62  4W 165.16 ( 41)  31.50 ( 58)  13.50 (  8)
   16  Maryland        Big ( 3- 1) 180.87  1W 173.61 (  4)  38.75 ( 26)  30.00 ( 91)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/29

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   8 Miami FL              31 1A  32 Duke                   6   4.77 -18.77 -25
1A  14 Southern Cal          27 1A  18 Washington St         30  -8.70  -3.57   3

09/30

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   6 Clemson               31 1A  24 Virginia Tech         17 -12.69 -17.25 -14
1A   5 Georgia               41 1A  68 Tennessee              0 -25.06 -32.90 -41
1A  45 Indiana               14 1A  11 Penn State            45  11.08  21.63  31
1A  16 Maryland              31 1A  41 Minnesota             24   3.96  -6.92  -7
1A  84 Memphis               13 1A   2 Central Florida       40  33.36  45.52  27
1A  72 Miami OH              17 1A  10 Notre Dame            52  30.34  32.58  35
1A  70 Mississippi            3 1A   1 Alabama               66  31.44  43.99  63
1A  38 Mississippi St        10 1A   4 Auburn                49  -2.64  30.15  39
1A  13 Ohio State            56 1A  95 Rutgers                0 -29.08 -30.24 -56
1A  12 Oklahoma St           41 1A  22 Texas Tech            34 -10.13 -10.12  -7
1A   7 Washington            42 1A 126 Oregon St              7 -56.42 -55.20 -35

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor                Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/07 1A  70 (2-2) Mississippi             4 (4-1) Auburn                39.96  94%
10/07 1A   2 (3-0) Central Florida        80 (2-3) Cincinnati           -39.94  94%
10/07 1A  17 (4-1) Wake Forest             6 (5-0) Clemson               19.21  78%
10/07 1A   8 (3-0) Miami FL               30 (1-2) Florida St           -18.15  76%
10/07 1A  25 (3-1) Michigan St            15 (4-0) Michigan               7.88  62%
10/07 1A  10 (4-1) Notre Dame             64 (1-4) North Carolina       -26.63  85%
10/07 1A  11 (5-0) Penn State             67 (2-2) Northwestern         -24.72  84%
10/07 1A  16 (3-1) Maryland               13 (4-1) Ohio State             9.40  64%
10/07 1A  37 (2-2) Iowa St                 3 (4-0) Oklahoma              30.61  89%
10/07 1A 126 (1-4) Oregon St              14 (4-1) Southern Cal          47.51  97%
10/07 1A  46 (3-1) West Virginia           9 (4-0) TCU                   26.56  85%
10/07 1A   1 (5-0) Alabama                57 (4-1) Texas A&M            -36.45  92%
10/07 1A   5 (5-0) Georgia                43 (3-2) Vanderbilt           -25.04  84%
10/07 1A  44 (3-2) California              7 (5-0) Washington            27.56  86%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.