2018-10-20 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Alabama                SEC ( 8- 0) 198.76  8W 160.08 ( 36)  54.12 (  1)  15.88 ( 12)
    2  Georgia                SEC ( 6- 1) 186.01  1L 163.26 ( 18)  39.00 ( 18)  16.29 ( 13)
    3  Clemson                ACC ( 7- 0) 184.64  7W 157.48 ( 53)  42.00 ( 12)  13.43 (  3)
    4  LSU                    SEC ( 7- 1) 184.01  2W 165.66 (  7)  30.38 ( 59)  15.12 (  7)
    5  Michigan               B10 ( 7- 1) 183.61  7W 162.30 ( 26)  36.00 ( 30)  14.38 (  6)
    6  Oklahoma               B12 ( 6- 1) 183.16  1W 163.49 ( 16)  48.57 (  3)  27.29 ( 71)
    7  Kentucky               SEC ( 6- 1) 182.95  1W 163.58 ( 14)  27.14 ( 80)  12.86 (  2)
    8  Florida                SEC ( 6- 1) 180.75  5W 163.16 ( 19)  34.43 ( 35)  16.57 ( 15)
    9  Iowa                   B10 ( 6- 1) 178.11  3W 161.88 ( 27)  30.57 ( 57)  14.14 (  5)
   10  West Virginia          B12 ( 5- 1) 177.36  1L 157.45 ( 54)  36.83 ( 26)  20.50 ( 28)
   11  Ohio State             B10 ( 7- 1) 177.01  1L 157.41 ( 56)  43.00 (  8)  22.88 ( 44)
   12  Texas A&M              SEC ( 5- 2) 176.61  3W 165.02 ( 10)  32.29 ( 48)  20.57 ( 29)
   13  Missouri               SEC ( 4- 3) 176.51  1W 166.66 (  5)  38.57 ( 20)  30.86 ( 92)
   14  Penn State             B10 ( 5- 2) 176.41  1W 160.26 ( 35)  42.57 (  9)  22.00 ( 36)
   15  Purdue                 B10 ( 4- 3) 175.91  4W 162.94 ( 22)  35.71 ( 32)  22.71 ( 39)
   16  Mississippi St         SEC ( 4- 3) 175.87  1L 164.50 ( 12)  27.00 ( 82)  13.57 (  4)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/20

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   1 Alabama               58 1A  60 Tennessee             21 -34.78 -36.12 -37
1A  47 Maryland               0 1A   9 Iowa                  23  12.33  16.04  23
1A  84 Memphis               33 1A  13 Missouri              65  16.94  25.17  32
1A   5 Michigan              21 1A  39 Michigan St            7  -6.54 -13.15 -14
1A  16 Mississippi St         3 1A   4 LSU                   19  12.34  10.69  16
1A  34 North Carolina St      7 1A   3 Clemson               41  11.23  18.46  34
1A  11 Ohio State            20 1A  15 Purdue                49 -11.10   1.45  29
1A   6 Oklahoma              52 1A  41 TCU                   27  -7.81 -12.91 -25
1A  14 Penn State            33 1A  57 Indiana               28 -13.73 -13.23  -5
1A  40 Vanderbilt             7 1A   7 Kentucky              14  21.79  17.59   7

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/25 1A  59 (4-3) Baylor                1A  10 (5-1) West Virginia         19.79  95%
10/27 1A   3 (7-0) Clemson               1A  72 (4-3) Florida St           -26.05  99%
10/27 1A  15 (4-3) Purdue                1A  39 (4-3) Michigan St           -5.44  68%
10/27 1A  12 (5-2) Texas A&M             1A  16 (4-3) Mississippi St         1.82  56%
10/27 1A   7 (6-1) Kentucky              1A  13 (4-3) Missouri              -3.89  63%
10/27 1A  69 (3-4) Kansas St             1A   6 (6-1) Oklahoma              27.88  99%
10/27 1A   9 (6-1) Iowa                  1A  14 (5-2) Penn State             0.86  53%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.