IAHSFB: week 6 post-game thoughts


Week 6 notes:

1. Rankings

http://ia.bcmoorerankings.com/fb/2022/

2. Preamble

Numbers are presented at the time of writing. Scores may be corrected during the week. As this happens, rankings will be updated; this exposition will not.

3. General thoughts:

We now have the final 1/3 of the season upcoming.

3A #2 ADM @ 3A #3 Harlan is the all-class game of the week.

4. 5A Results

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
5A   7 Ankeny Centennial     28 5A  14 Urbandale             23  -9.13  -8.47  -5
5A  20 Bettendorf            14 5A   4 Pleasant Valley       44  43.46  40.52  30
5A   8 CR Kennedy            16 5A  13 Cedar Falls           23 -15.50  -7.32   7
5A  30 CB Lincoln            13 5A  16 Ames                  42  40.50  33.71  29
5A  28 Davenport North        0 5A   5 Iowa City High        55  49.45  53.83  55
5A  12 Johnston              19 5A   1 WDM Dowling           42  29.47  27.62  23
5A   2 Southeast Polk        49 5A   9 Marion Linn-Mar       27   0.49 -15.04 -22
5A   6 Sioux City East        7 5A  11 Waukee Northwest      17 -10.42  -2.86  10
5A  32 Waterloo West         14 5A  15 CR Prairie            45  45.03  45.29  31
5A  10 WDM Valley            24 5A   3 Ankeny                34  19.19  16.04  10

Two upsets of note: #13 Cedar Falls beats #8 Kennedy and #11 Northwest beats #6 Sioux City East.

Southeast Polk, a pre-game 0.50 underdog, wins by 22 points.

5. 5A Rankings

Dowling #1, Southeast Polk #2, Ankeny #3, Pleasant Valley #4, Iowa City High #5.

Southeast Polk @ Linn-Mar is a consequential game.

#22 Davenport West remains undefeated.

6. 5A games

#4 (6-0) Pleasant Valley @ #5 (4-2) Iowa City High is the game of the week. Pleasant Valley is a 1-point favorite.

Two weeks ago Pleasant valley projected to be a 23-point favorite. Last week the prediction for this game was 9 points.

City High faces currently undefeated teams in both week 6 and week 7.

#22 Davenport West is a 31-point underdog at Kennedy. A Davenport West win would definitely cause the computer to recalculate team strengths.

7. 4A Results

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  22 Burlington             7 4A   3 Eldridge North Scott  46  51.85  43.91  39
4A   8 Carlisle              42 4A  30 Boone                  0 -52.97 -50.99 -42
4A  14 CR Washington         27 4A  15 Clear Creek-Amana     24  -4.24  -0.48  -3
4A   5 CB Lewis Central      63 4A  34 Des Moines Hoover     14 -79.37 -76.91 -49
4A   7 Western Dubuque       38 4A  20 Decorah               22 -37.03 -22.81 -16
4A  24 Fort Dodge            14 4A  11 Spencer               49  13.48  22.08  35
4A   4 Iowa City Liberty     68 4A  32 Mount Pleasant         6 -75.93 -69.73 -62
4A  12 Norwalk               33 4A  10 Indianola             45   2.04   6.96  12
4A  29 Oskaloosa             10 4A  13 Newton                56  19.27  33.22  46
4A  21 Pella                  0 4A   2 CR Xavier             47  62.65  52.49  47
4A  35 Perry                  0 4A   9 Bondurant-Farrar      70  79.12  74.87  70
4A   1 Waverly-Shell Rock    42 4A  23 Marion                 7 -48.83 -52.82 -35
4A   6 Webster City          28 4A  18 LeMars                 7 -15.66 -18.49 -21
4A  27 Winterset              7 4A  16 Glenwood              30   9.12  15.80  23

No upsets

8. 4A Rankings

Tier 1: Waverly-Shell Rock, Xavier
Tier 2: North Scott, Liberty, and Lewis Central

Other teams, currently undefeated: #13 Newton and #25 Fort Madison.

9. 4A Games

# 8 (5-1) Carlisle       @ #10 (5-1) Indianola    -1.73  54%
#11 (5-1) Spencer        @ # 6 (4-2) Webster City 11.08  74%
#14 (3-3) CR Washington  @ #13 (6-0) Newton        4.55  60%

10. 3A Results

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A   6 Alleman North Polk    14 3A   5 Humboldt              24   4.72   6.74  10
3A  23 Atlantic               7 3A   3 Harlan                54  38.71  37.48  47
3A  10 Carroll                6 3A  24 Sioux City Heelan      9 -23.04 -10.99   3
3A   9 Creston COM            7 3A   2 Adel ADM              38  23.47  26.94  31
3A  17 Gilbert               25 3A  16 Algona                28   0.98   1.82   3
3A  18 Huxley Ballard        12 3A  11 Nevada                17   9.36   7.05   5
3A  12 Independence          21 3A  19 Hampton-Dumont-CAL     7   2.01  -3.00 -14
3A   7 West Delaware         53 3A  34 Tama South Tama        9 -50.55 -49.14 -44
3A  13 MOC-Floyd Valley      27 3A  14 Sergeant Bluff-Luton  26   1.51   0.74  -1
3A   1 Mount Vernon          42 3A   8 Davenport Assumption  17  -9.86 -24.70 -25
3A  21 Vinton-Shellsburg      6 3A  15 Van Horne Benton      14  12.50   6.65   8
3A  29 Washington             0 3A   4 Solon                 44  47.43  46.44  44

11. 3A Rankings

Mount Vernon, ADM, Harlan, and Solon lead. Humboldt is undefeated at #5, along with Creston at #10.

Sergeant Bluff-Luton (1-5) and Gilbert (1-5) remain in the top half at #14 and #17.

12. 3A Games

#2 (6-0) Adel ADM @ #3 (5-1) Harlan, ADM is a 1-point favorite (coin-flip)

13. 2A Results

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
2A  12 Clear Lake            35 2A  28 Forest City           12 -17.09 -16.67 -23
2A  15 Des Moines Christian  41 2A  40 Osceola Clarke        14   1.37 -26.22 -27
2A  16 Estherville LC         0 2A   3 Spirit Lake           45  28.09  31.22  45
2A  38 Garner GHV             7 2A  10 Cresco Crestwood      44  33.81  36.57  37
2A   9 Inwood West Lyon      49 2A  45 Milford Okoboji        7 -50.94 -54.19 -42
2A  13 Greene County         34 2A  14 Red Oak               23   6.78  -0.64 -11
2A   8 New Hampton            8 2A   7 Osage                 21  -3.11   2.46  13
2A  31 Pocahontas Area        0 2A   6 Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG   62  27.39  29.75  62
2A  20 Prairie City-Monroe   12 2A   5 West Marshall         13  40.04  20.16   1
2A   1 Central Lyon CL-G-LR  39 2A  29 Unity Christian        7 -59.29 -55.86 -32
2A  11 Waukon                28 2A   4 Dubuque Wahlert        6  39.87  10.37 -22
2A   2 Williamsburg          56 2A  25 Wellman Mid-Prairie    7 -37.09 -38.19 -49

14. 2A Rankings

Tier 1: Central Lyon
Tier 2: Williamsburg and Spirit Lake
Tier 3: Wahlert and West Marshall

15. 2A Games

Nothing is currently of interest.

16. 1A Results

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  15 Cascade               33 1A  23 SumnerFredericksburg  14  -8.63 -12.79 -19
1A   2 Dike-New Hartford     27 1A   6 Aplington AP          20  -1.29  -4.09  -7
1A  18 Dyersville Beckman    13 1A  11 Waterloo Columbus     41   5.09  13.24  28
1A   5 Hawarden West Sioux   35 1A  31 Holstein Ridge View    0 -45.96 -44.65 -35
1A  12 Western Christian     45 1A  36 Sibley-Ocheyedan       0 -49.15 -47.97 -45
1A  40 Lake View East Sac     0 1A   3 Carroll Kuemper       63  66.72  72.67  63
1A  46 Louisa-Muscatine       0 1A  13 Iowa City Regina      50  88.26  84.82  50
1A   8 Mediapolis            42 1A  21 Wilton                21 -18.92 -21.74 -21
1A  29 Pleasantville          7 1A   9 Pella Christian       54  34.00  37.93  47
1A  48 Postville             16 1A  10 Monona MFL-MarMac     84  95.59  98.25  68
1A  16 Sigourney-Keota       56 1A  41 Eldon Cardinal         3 -52.90 -52.97 -53
1A  27 Treynor                0 1A   7 Underwood             54  36.58  32.25  54
1A   4 Van Meter             42 1A  44 Nodaway Valley         0 -83.67 -77.53 -42
1A   1 West Branch           49 1A  14 Durant                13 -17.40 -26.11 -36

17. 1A Rankings

Tier 1: West Branch
Tier 2: Dike-New Hartford, Kuemper, Van Meter, West Sioux, Aplington-Parkersburg.

West Branch looks very strong.

18. 1A Games

Nothing is currently of interest.

19. A Results

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 A  44 Arlington Starmont     0  A  12 North Linn            59  41.80  39.82  59
 A   1 Britt West Hancock    31  A  10 Hartley HMS           18  -5.66 -13.92 -13
 A  56 Colfax-Mingo           0  A   8 Lynnville-Sully       58  82.31  82.66  58
 A   7 Wapsie Valley         48  A  40 South Winneshiek      24 -39.37 -36.93 -24
 A  47 Greene North Butler    0  A   6 Saint Ansgar          68  50.89  50.40  68
 A   2 Grundy Center         35  A  22 Nashua-Plainfield      8 -34.27 -31.84 -27
 A  16 Hinton                22  A  37 Akron-Westfield        7 -18.55 -18.02 -15
 A  46 Lake Mills            28  A  15 Mason City Newman     55  33.60  34.31  27
 A  13 LeMars Gehlen         28  A  20 South O'Brien         20  -5.80  -6.71  -8
 A  14 Mount Ayr             43  A  41 CB St Albert           3 -22.53 -26.06 -40
 A   4 Woodbury Central      40  A  32 Sloan Westwood        14 -38.50 -36.77 -26
 A  48 North Mahaska         14  A   9 Columbus Junction     71  59.26  60.75  57
 A  50 Sidney                 8  A   3 Avoca AHSTW           69  73.09  75.25  61
 A  51 Stanwood North Cedar   0  A  11 Alburnett             44  55.29  70.09  44
 A   5 East Buchanan         44  A  33 Bellevue              13 -37.17 -32.73 -31
 

20. A Rankings

West Hancock, Grundy Center, AHSTW, and Woodbury Central.

Lynnville-Sully is undefeated at #8, and Columbus Junction is undefeated at #9.

21. A Games

#6 (4-2) Saint Ansgar @ #1 (6-0) Britt West Hancock, West Hancock is a 16-point favorite.

22. 8 Results

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 8   7 Anita CAM             60  8  34 Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb   18  -21.01  -29.44 -42
 8  20 Bedford               18  8  10 East Mills            24   10.71   11.17   6
 8   9 Central City          65  8  61 Springville           13  -68.91  -69.44 -52
 8   3 Don Bosco             85  8  65 Garwin GMG             8 -120.69 -117.59 -77
 8   6 Lenox                 81  8  57 Griswold              14  -69.27  -70.35 -67
 8  15 West Harrison         49  8  50 Woodbine               0  -37.41  -38.16 -49
 8  25 Moravia               22  8   8 Southeast Warren      50   19.56   18.13  28
 8   1 Remsen St Mary        61  8  16 Newell-Fonda          13  -19.54  -40.28 -48
 8  14 Ruthven GTRA          40  8  17 Harris-Lake Park      42   -4.59   -1.17   2
 8   5 Tabor Fremont-Mills   74  8  28 Afton East Union      20  -29.53  -31.29 -54
 8  56 Thornburg Tri-County   0  8  12 Winfield-Mt Union     60   57.76   60.40  60
 8  13 Tripoli               62  8  42 Maynard West Central  24  -29.00  -32.02 -38
 8   4 Wayland WACO          42  8  36 Lone Tree             17  -47.09  -45.57 -25

23. 8 Rankings

Remsen St Mary, Easton Valley, and Don Bosco lead.

WACO is undefeated at #4, Lenox at #6, Gladbrook-Reinbeck at #11, West Harrison #15, Baxter at #18.

24. 8 Games

#11 (6-0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck @ #3 (6-0) Don Bosco, Don Bosco is favored by 32