Week 9 notes:
1. Rankings
http://ia.bcmoorerankings.com/fb/2022/
2. Preamble
Numbers are presented at the time of writing. Scores may be corrected during the week. As this happens, rankings will be updated; this exposition will not.
3. Congratiulations
Congratulations to all of the champions!
4. Results
Cl Rk Visitor Score Cl Rk Home Score Pre Post Act 4A 2 CB Lewis Central 38 4A 1 CR Xavier 45 1.68 2.43 7 A 1 Grundy Center 27 A 2 Britt West Hancock 0 2.57 -4.20 -27 8 3 Wayland WACO 16 8 1 Remsen St Mary 38 21.93 20.08 22 5A 7 WDM Valley 14 5A 2 Southeast Polk 49 17.59 20.69 35 3A 2 Mount Vernon 23 3A 1 Harlan 30 13.59 12.63 7 2A 1 Central Lyon CL-G-LR 10 2A 2 Williamsburg 6 -13.55 -7.59 -4 1A 2 Hawarden West Sioux 7 1A 1 Van Meter 35 -2.47 13.32 28
5. thoughts
5A – Valley’s upset of Dowling seemed to have left the door wide open for Southeast Polk to win a championship.
4A – Xavier wins a high-scoring game.
3A – Harlin wins a competitive game.
2A – Central Lyon CL-G-LR wins a close one.
1A – Van Meter wins big.
A – Grundy Center wins big.
8 – Remsen St Mary wins by the expected game margin.
6. prediction results
Cl 1st 2nd 3rd 4th total 5A 4/8 3/4 1/2 1/1 9/15 0.600 4A 6/8 3/4 2/2 1/1 12/15 0.800 3A 8/8 4/4 2/2 1/1 15/15 1.000 2A 3/8 3/4 2/2 1/1 9/15 0.600 1A 6/8 4/4 2/2 0/1 12/15 0.800 A 8/8 4/4 2/2 0/1 14/15 0.933 8 6/8 4/4 2/2 1/1 13/15 0.867 41/56 25/28 13/14 5/7 84/105 0.800 0.732 0.893 0.929 0.714 0.800
The model was a perfect 15/15 in class 3A; model struggled with class 2A and 5A.
1st round predictions were 73% correct; 3rd round predictions were 93% correct.