Week 4 notes:
1. Rankings
http://ia.bcmoorerankings.com/fb/2023/week4/
2. Preamble
Numbers are presented at the time of writing. Scores may be corrected during the week. As this happens, rankings will be updated; this exposition will not.
3. General thoughts:
Week 4 rankings are published with no bias. Rankings are based on 2023 data only.
Week 5 rankings are the benchmark for understanding the championship contenders. 86% of championships are won by teams in the top 5 of the bcmoorerankings in week 5.
4. 5A Results
Rnk Visitor Score Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act # 3 Ankeny Centennial 21 # 1 Southeast Polk 24 18.54 8.68 3 # 4 Bettendorf 21 #14 Marion Linn-Mar 14 -29.05 -22.20 -7 #12 CR Prairie 23 # 9 Pleasant Valley 28 15.79 4.78 5 #30 CR Washington 7 # 5 CR Kennedy 45 51.40 58.95 38 #15 Iowa City Liberty 19 #13 Cedar Falls 35 2.92 13.40 16 #18 Iowa City West 8 #16 Iowa City High 23 -0.52 9.00 15 #10 Johnston 10 # 8 Ankeny 16 0.26 3.68 6 # 7 Waukee Northwest 17 # 2 WDM Dowling 31 23.77 17.07 14 #11 WDM Valley 15 # 6 Waukee 37 4.59 13.79 22
#1 Southeast Polk beats #3 Centennial by 3.
#4 Bettendorf wins by 7 (29 was expected).
5. 5A Rankings
SE Polk, Dowling, Centennial, and Bettendorf lead
6. 5A games
#6 (3-1) Waukee @ #10 (2-2) Johnston -8.44 63%
This seems to be the best game of the week.
7. 4A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 4A # 7 CR Xavier 21 4A #11 Pella 31 -16.50 -8.27 10 4A # 3 CB Lewis Central 26 4A # 5 Bondurant-Farrar 36 3.52 1.32 10 4A #14 Decorah 7 3A #16 Independence 21 -7.14 1.21 14 4A #16 Denison-Schleswig 14 4A # 9 Glenwood 28 15.63 11.82 14 4A # 2 Eldridge North Scott 24 4A # 4 Western Dubuque 31 10.61 0.33 7 4A #22 Dallas Center-Grimes 0 4A #12 Huxley Ballard 24 -0.04 18.55 24 3A #13 Humboldt 7 4A # 6 Alleman North Polk 34 22.07 17.58 27 4A #13 Indianola 6 4A #18 Carlisle 17 -23.33 -5.81 11 4A #15 Newton 45 5A #35 Marshalltown 0 -35.68 -50.45 -45 4A # 8 Norwalk 14 4A # 1 Adel ADM 47 5.91 20.07 33 4A #10 Winterset 21 3A #31 Atlantic 0 -14.19 -34.99 -21
8. 4A Rankings
ADM, North Scott, Lewis Central, Western Dubuque, and Bondurant-Farrar lead.
#23 Gilbert is still undefeated.
9. 4A Games
#12 (2-2) Huxley Ballard @ #13 (2-2) Indianola 1.72 53% # 9 (3-1) Glenwood @ # 3 (2-2) CB Lewis Central 17.91 76% #10 (2-2) Winterset @ # 8 (3-1) Norwalk 6.07 60%
10. 3A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 3A 12 Algona 53 3A 22 Boyden-Hull-R Valley 20 7.93 -16.53 -33 3A 1 Creston 50 3A 21 Carroll 21 -18.23 -34.34 -29 3A 3 Davenport Assumption 30 3A 17 Dubuque Wahlert 6 -2.89 -20.91 -24 4A 14 Decorah 7 3A 16 Independence 21 -7.14 1.21 14 3A 13 Humboldt 7 4A 6 Alleman North Polk 34 22.07 17.58 27 3A 7 Nevada 21 3A 11 Hampton-Dumont-CAL 24 -4.77 0.98 3 3A 29 Sergeant Bluff-Luton 6 3A 2 Harlan 42 37.23 49.06 36 3A 5 Sioux Center 35 4A 26 Spencer 14 -29.98 -38.17 -21 3A 8 Solon 37 3A 9 Mount Vernon 20 29.30 1.67 -17 3A 6 Van Horne Benton 42 4A 21 Clear Creek-Amana 27 -25.63 -15.91 -15 4A 20 Waverly-Shell Rock 25 3A 15 Clear Lake 28 33.85 8.72 3 3A 18 Webster City 13 3A 14 West Delaware 42 -9.04 6.93 29 3A 4 Williamsburg 48 3A 24 Fort Madison 14 -21.82 -33.92 -34
Solon upsets Mount Vernon.
11. 3A Rankings
Creston, Harlan, Assumption, Williamsburg lead.
#10 Heelan, #11 Hampton-Dumont-CAL, and #15 Clear Lake are still undefeated.
12. 3A Games
# 2 (3-1) Harlan @ # 1 (4-0) Creston 4.73 58% #10 (4-0) Sioux City Heelan @ # 5 (3-1) Sioux Center 11.23 67% #11 (4-0) Hampton-Dumont-CAL @ #13 (2-2) Humboldt -1.74 53%
#2 @ #1: Creston is listed as a 5-point favorite.
13. 2A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 2A 4 Carroll Kuemper 42 2A 13 Roland-Story 7 -11.64 -20.86 -35 2A 14 Estherville LC 34 2A 38 Milford Okoboji 23 -15.07 -22.45 -11 2A 30 Southeast Valley 12 2A 11 Des Moines Christian 52 -8.68 23.12 40 2A 5 Western Christian 28 2A 8 Cherokee Washington 21 -2.76 -4.32 -7 2A 2 Inwood West Lyon 35 2A 18 Unity Christian 0 -33.12 -41.42 -35 2A 12 Greene County 41 2A 48 Saydel 0 -31.33 -48.45 -41 2A 34 Jesup 7 2A 10 Prairie City-Monroe 50 19.60 33.23 43 2A 15 Monticello 38 2A 24 Anamosa 20 -8.86 -11.04 -18 2A 7 Osage 40 2A 28 New Hampton 7 -18.35 -30.70 -33 2A 3 Central Lyon CL-G-LR 47 2A 25 Sheldon 14 -45.14 -49.32 -33 2A 6 Spirit Lake 63 2A 36 Forest City 6 -27.86 -41.76 -57 2A 1 Van Meter 56 2A 9 Clarinda 22 -12.82 -28.20 -34 2A 44 WB-Notre Dame 18 2A 16 Wellman Mid-Prairie 40 21.48 34.47 22
14. 2A Rankings
Van Meter, West Lyon, and Central Lyon lead.
15. 2A Games
#2 (4-0) Inwood West Lyon @ #5 (4-0) Western Christian -16.41 74% #3 (4-0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR @ #8 (3-1) Cherokee Washington -21.74 81%
Both visiting teams are favored.
16. 1A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 1A 38 Cascade 0 1A 10 West Branch 38 32.15 47.06 38 1A 6 Denver 42 1A 32 Manly Central Spring 6 -30.97 -44.59 -36 1A 8 Dike-New Hartford 24 1A 15 SumnerFredericksburg 14 -3.45 -10.03 -10 1A 43 Durant 12 1A 4 Iowa City Regina 49 60.21 76.29 37 1A 40 Dyersville Beckman 7 1A 9 Wilton 47 42.52 49.66 40 1A 3 Grundy Center 49 1A 47 East Marshall 0 -62.34 -83.77 -49 1A 26 Lake View East Sac 3 1A 12 Emmetsburg 40 10.78 25.79 37 1A 36 Mapleton MV-A-O-CO-U 2 1A 16 Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG 55 24.56 37.10 53 1A 2 Monona MFL-MarMac 42 1A 21 Aplington AP 0 -10.84 -34.67 -42 1A 23 Pleasantville 14 1A 11 Pella Christian 42 0.71 20.99 28 1A 39 Red Oak 6 1A 5 Treynor 47 43.86 57.58 41 1A 13 Sigourney-Keota 67 1A 46 Eldon Cardinal 0 -41.18 -60.69 -67 1A 1 Underwood 28 1A 7 Avoca AHSTW 12 -3.52 -19.03 -16 1A 14 Waterloo Columbus 42 1A 28 Hudson 18 -2.79 -19.80 -24
17. 1A Rankings
Underwood, MFL-MarMac, Grundy Center, and Regina lead.
#5 Treynor, #6 Denver, #9 Wilton are undefeated.
18. 1A Games
#5 (4-0) Treynor @ #7 (2-2) Avoca AHSTW -1.36 52%
This is a great coin-flip game. Treynor is a 1-point favorite.
19. A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act A 52 Belmond-Klemme 6 A 2 Saint Ansgar 61 71.45 75.46 55 A 36 Southwest Valley 14 A 11 Earlham 60 21.54 27.40 46 A 44 Corydon Wayne 6 A 16 Panora Panorama 35 15.17 36.88 29 A 8 Wapsie Valley 19 A 22 Greene North Butler 0 -4.94 -12.67 -19 A 6 Guthrie Center GC-AC 35 A 12 South Cent Calhoun 21 13.68 -7.88 -14 A 46 Hartley HMS 8 A 5 Akron-Westfield 36 40.73 53.18 28 A 30 LeMars Gehlen 14 A 4 Woodbury Central 43 25.18 29.36 29 A 13 Logan-Magnolia 40 A 50 West Monona 0 -39.34 -40.85 -40 A 10 Madrid 27 A 14 Lynnville-Sully 9 12.84 -6.04 -18 A 15 IKM-Manning 38 A 17 Oakland Riverside 37 5.55 2.00 -1 A 58 Riverside Highland 6 A 9 Lisbon 57 72.27 77.84 51 A 47 Stanwood North Cedar 0 A 1 North Linn 48 55.15 70.90 48 A 27 North Union 7 A 3 Britt West Hancock 49 29.54 30.21 42
IKM-Manning has a slight upset of Riverside.
20. A Rankings
North Linn and Saint Ansgar lead.
#3 Woodbury Central, #6 GC-AC, #9 Lisbon, #10 Madrid, #23 Nashua-Plainfield, and #25 Lake Mills are undefeated.
21. A Games
#11 (3-1) Earlham @ #10 (4-0) Madrid 5.25 58% #18 (2-2) Neola Tri-Center @ #13 (3-1) Logan-Magnolia 4.25 57% #12 (3-1) South Cent Calhoun @ #15 (3-1) IKM-Manning 0.22 50% #25 (4-0) Lake Mills @ #27 (2-2) North Union 0.23 50%
These are the four best games of the week. Home teams are all slight favorites.
22. 8 Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 8 42 Afton East Union 6 8 2 Bedford 52 32.03 53.05 46 8 14 Belle Plaine 66 8 39 Brooklyn BGM 35 9.11 -23.88 -31 8 7 Central City 17 8 57 New London 0 -55.78 -67.38 -17 8 16 Colo-NESCO 46 8 46 Collins-Maxwell 26 -25.64 -30.48 -20 8 34 Coon Rapids-Bayard 6 8 1 Anita CAM 50 41.08 52.64 44 8 22 Dunlap Boyer Valley 7 8 10 Remsen St Mary 12 33.67 13.73 5 8 20 Fort Dodge St Edmond 48 8 9 Audubon 66 5.57 14.07 18 8 61 Mormon Trail 8 8 5 Lenox 66 64.70 80.10 58 8 26 Lansing Kee 34 8 6 Don Bosco 68 8.82 26.36 34 8 12 Marengo Iowa Valley 48 8 51 English Valleys 16 -40.98 -43.87 -32 8 15 Moravia 59 8 30 Southeast Warren 28 7.08 -16.57 -31 8 47 Northwood-Kensett 22 8 13 Algona Garrigan 59 30.36 38.24 37 8 3 Gladbrook-Reinbeck 56 8 44 Dunkerton 0 -40.79 -48.11 -56 8 64 Victor HLV 12 8 8 Wayland WACO 59 71.95 82.77 47 8 11 West Bend-Mallard 58 8 36 Ruthven GTRA 18 3.85 -23.36 -40 8 4 Winfield-Mt Union 70 8 17 Montezuma 20 -12.85 -14.29 -50
23. 8 Rankings
CAM, Bedford, Gladbrook-Reinbeck, Winfield-Mount Union lead.
#10 Remsen St Mary, #18 Clarksville, #21 Ar-We-Va are undefeated.
24. 8 Games
#23 (3-1) Baxter @ #16 (3-2) Colo-NESCO 8.12 63%
Colo is a 8-point favorite.