Week 8 notes:
1. Rankings
http://ia.bcmoorerankings.com/fb/2023/latest/
2. Preamble
Numbers are accurate as of the time of writing. Scores may be corrected during the week. As this happens, rankings will be updated; this exposition will not.
The schedule file for week 9 is accurate as of writing. More games will be added this week.
3. General thoughts:
Week 8 rankings are published with no bias.
4. 5A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 5A 7 Waukee 42 5A 28 Des Moines Roosevelt 14 -42.52 -41.80 -28 5A 9 Ankeny 23 5A 10 WDM Valley 24 -0.42 -0.26 1 5A 5 Bettendorf 35 5A 13 CR Prairie 8 -5.47 -11.75 -27 5A 3 CR Kennedy 14 5A 12 Cedar Falls 17 -13.14 -10.54 3 5A 16 Iowa City West 25 5A 11 Pleasant Valley 38 17.17 15.61 13 5A 17 Marion Linn-Mar 0 5A 14 Iowa City High 30 5.70 8.80 30 5A 19 Urbandale 2 5A 8 Johnston 21 35.03 29.47 19 5A 21 Waterloo West 0 5A 15 Iowa City Liberty 44 23.57 22.91 44 5A 6 Waukee Northwest 17 5A 4 Ankeny Centennial 7 9.52 4.72 -10 5A 2 WDM Dowling 34 5A 1 Southeast Polk 37 2.73 2.09 3
upsets:
Cedar Falls, 13-point underdog, wins by 3 points.
Waukee Northwest, 10-point underdog, wins by 10 points.
quality predictions:
WDM Valley, 1-point underdog, wins by 1 point.
Southeast Poik, 3-point favorite, wins by 3 points.
surprises:
Bettendorf, 5-point favorite, wins by 27 points.
City High, 6-point favorite, wins by 30 points.
5. 5A Rankings
Dowling and SE Polk lead.
6. 5A games
Last week’s overperformers will meet, as City High @ Bettendorf seems to be the headline game. Bettendorf is favored by 17.
7. 4A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 4A 6 Adel ADM 0 4A 10 Indianola 24 -19.03 -5.86 24 4A 2 Alleman North Polk 42 4A 28 Boone 8 -47.81 -51.35 -34 4A 3 Bondurant-Farrar 13 4A 8 Pella 40 -23.47 -7.67 27 4A 5 CR Xavier 35 4A 22 Clear Creek-Amana 7 -21.35 -24.17 -28 4A 4 CB Lewis Central 42 4A 15 Norwalk 13 -15.17 -16.01 -29 4A 12 Decorah 7 4A 1 Western Dubuque 28 14.67 18.17 21 4A 18 Denison-Schleswig 16 4A 14 LeMars 14 13.83 9.88 -2 4A 34 Des Moines North 6 4A 9 Huxley Ballard 55 56.46 60.19 49 4A 7 Eldridge North Scott 55 4A 32 Clinton 0 -53.95 -53.54 -55 4A 21 Gilbert 2 4A 13 Newton 21 14.99 15.65 19 4A 11 Glenwood 42 4A 30 CB Jefferson 6 -37.44 -40.11 -36 4A 20 Winterset 10 4A 16 Dallas Center-Grimes 31 9.37 11.89 21
Indianola, 19-point underdog, wins by 24.
Pella, 24-point underdog, wins by 27.
Denison-Schleswig, 14-point underdog, wins by 2
8. 4A Rankings
Western Dubuque, North Polk, Bondurant-Farrar, Lewis Central, Xavier,and ADM lead.
9. 4A Games
North Polk @ ADM is the headliner. North Polk is a 3-point favorite.
10. 3A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 3A 16 Algona 0 3A 9 Webster City 47 -2.72 12.55 47 3A 30 Atlantic 6 3A 7 Harlan 27 41.60 43.70 21 3A 20 Carroll 6 3A 4 Sioux Center 25 33.78 30.02 19 3A 14 Clear Lake 0 3A 15 Humboldt 34 -12.44 0.78 34 3A 21 Grinnell 8 3A 1 Williamsburg 63 23.05 34.85 55 3A 12 Independence 21 3A 10 West Delaware 29 0.52 2.70 8 3A 22 Keokuk 0 3A 5 Davenport Assumption 48 30.95 29.63 48 3A 6 Nevada 28 3A 2 Creston 42 3.44 6.50 14 3A 13 Sioux City Heelan 34 3A 26 Sergeant Bluff-Luton 14 -25.19 -23.60 -20 3A 8 Solon 42 3A 31 Fairfield 6 -42.53 -44.00 -36 3A 35 Tama South Tama 0 3A 11 Van Horne Benton 74 55.88 57.72 74 3A 32 Washington 6 3A 3 Mount Vernon 65 51.07 53.42 59
Webster City, 3-point underdog, wins by 47.
Humboldt, 12-point underdog, wins by 34.
11. 3A Rankings
Williamsburg, Creston, Mount Vernon Sioux Center, Assumption, Nevada, Harlan, Solon, and Webster City lead.
It is really unclear where to stop listing contenders. This is a competitive class.
12. 3A Games
Rnk (W-L) Visitor @ Rnk (W-L) Home Matchup Line Prob #11 (5-3) Van Horne Benton @ #1 (7-1) Williamsburg 99.15 14.09 87% #15 (5-3) Humboldt @ #9 (6-2) Webster City 93.81 10.09 79%
Last week’s big winners, Humbolt and Webster City, meet. Webster City is a 10-point favorite.
13. 2A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 2A 39 Centerville 8 2A 10 Clarinda 30 35.80 36.09 22 2A 8 Cherokee Washington 40 2A 29 Sheldon 21 -28.06 -23.57 -19 2A 13 Estherville LC 43 2A 43 Garner GHV 7 -36.71 -35.22 -36 2A 25 Southeast Valley 0 2A 4 Carroll Kuemper 28 39.08 42.67 28 2A 6 Western Christian 36 2A 15 Unity Christian 14 -12.02 -14.87 -22 2A 3 Inwood West Lyon 0 2A 1 Central Lyon CL-G-LR 7 9.65 12.54 7 2A 37 Iowa Falls-Alden 6 2A 9 Prairie City-Monroe 45 37.37 37.42 39 2A 7 Monticello 57 2A 40 Tipton 6 -43.43 -44.09 -51 2A 42 Oelwein 0 2A 12 Osage 52 42.38 37.80 52 2A 47 Saydel 0 2A 11 Roland-Story 49 54.21 52.33 49 2A 5 Spirit Lake 21 2A 23 Clarion CGD 0 -34.04 -32.37 -21 2A 38 Truro Interstate-35 3 2A 2 Van Meter 47 72.71 72.93 44 2A 14 Waukon 28 2A 18 New Hampton 27 -3.89 -3.82 -1
quality predictions:
Central Lyon, 10-point favorite, wins by 7.
Waukon, 4-point favorite, wins by 1.
14. 2A Rankings
Central Lyon, Van Meter, and West Lyon lead.
Noting: these three teams are dramatically separated from the rest of the field (first noted in week 5).
15. 2A Games
Nothing to report at this time.
16. 1A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 1A 21 Aplington AP 0 1A 6 SumnerFredericksburg 27 26.61 27.54 27 1A 8 Avoca AHSTW 50 1A 29 Shenandoah 7 -32.01 -33.36 -43 1A 7 Dike-New Hartford 14 1A 4 Denver 8 5.43 4.38 -6 1A 45 Durant 0 1A 11 West Branch 42 67.17 66.97 42 1A 2 Iowa City Regina 35 1A 15 Wilton 0 -12.06 -21.47 -35 1A 9 South Hamilton 60 1A 38 Grand View Christian 13 -48.89 -47.51 -47 1A 26 Lawton-Bronson 30 1A 12 Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG 64 16.67 21.22 34 1A 36 Manson NW Webster 6 1A 16 Emmetsburg 54 37.93 35.42 48 1A 43 Missouri Valley 0 1A 14 Treynor 59 52.42 52.28 59 1A 3 Monona MFL-MarMac 34 1A 37 Manly Central Spring 0 -57.05 -55.96 -34 1A 13 Sigourney-Keota 62 1A 41 Eddyville EBF 12 -47.41 -46.23 -50 1A 1 Underwood 56 1A 40 Red Oak 0 -76.70 -77.48 -56 1A 10 Waterloo Columbus 19 1A 19 Eldora South Hardin 6 -11.76 -12.96 -13
Dike-New Hartford, 5-point underdog, wins by 6.
17. 1A Rankings
Underwood leads.
#5 Grundy Center is undefeated.
18. 1A Games
Nothing to report at this time.
19. A Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act A 43 Alta-Aurelia 0 A 10 Marcus MMCRU 25 39.57 36.09 25 A 30 Bellevue 6 A 5 North Linn 56 20.10 28.08 50 A 44 Corydon Wayne 14 A 9 Madrid 40 35.24 36.65 26 A 12 Maquoketa Valley 6 A 4 Arlington Starmont 27 6.20 11.55 21 A 14 Earlham 52 A 18 South Cent Calhoun 14 8.90 -3.40 -38 A 6 Wapsie Valley 32 A 21 Nashua-Plainfield 6 -13.83 -16.75 -26 A 11 Guthrie Center GC-AC 41 A 45 Southwest Valley 0 -27.06 -34.16 -41 A 54 Keosauqua Van Buren 8 A 15 Lisbon 45 58.69 60.57 37 A 13 Lynnville-Sully 22 A 25 Leon Central Decatur 0 -7.39 -10.22 -22 A 42 Mason City Newman 13 A 1 Britt West Hancock 67 63.76 61.05 54 A 52 West Monona 0 A 3 Woodbury Central 55 64.20 67.45 55 A 23 Panora Panorama 12 A 16 Oakland Riverside 62 -4.38 9.91 50 A 48 South O'Brien 0 A 7 Akron-Westfield 26 48.56 46.53 26 A 57 Postville 0 A 8 East Buchanan 68 84.92 84.46 68 A 2 Saint Ansgar 31 A 22 Lake Mills 6 -31.50 -28.27 -25
Earlham, 9-point underdog, wins by 38.
Riverside, 4-point underdog, wins by 50.
20. A Rankings
West Hancock and Saint Ansgar lead.
#3 Woodbury Central, #9 Madrid, #11 GC-AC, #15 Lisbon are undefeated.
21. A Games
Nothing to report at this time.
22. 8 Results
Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 8 3 Anita CAM 42 8 36 Stanton-Essex 6 -49.38 -50.56 -36 8 22 Baxter 26 8 8 Audubon 42 19.17 18.16 16 8 33 Belle Plaine 12 8 15 Marengo Iowa Valley 70 -2.91 23.49 58 8 11 Glidden-Ralston 62 8 24 Fort Dodge St Edmond 16 -4.59 -13.49 -46 8 29 Harris-Lake Park 14 8 16 Algona Garrigan 20 20.35 15.52 6 8 50 Lamoni 8 8 4 Lenox 56 61.74 68.45 48 8 28 Southeast Warren 0 8 2 Bedford 63 44.23 44.07 63 8 56 West Harrison 0 8 5 Remsen St Mary 17 76.89 76.36 17 8 6 Gladbrook-Reinbeck 62 8 58 Garwin GMG 16 -76.16 -74.17 -46 8 14 Tabor Fremont-Mills 56 8 43 Sidney 6 -22.56 -30.36 -50 8 68 Tama Meskwaki 6 8 13 Clarksville 48 104.33 104.10 42 8 62 Victor HLV 0 8 1 Winfield-Mt Union 66 102.37 102.59 66 8 63 Waterloo Christian 0 8 7 Don Bosco 80 84.97 85.46 80 8 12 West Bend-Mallard 78 8 64 Rockford 8 -82.09 -77.42 -70 8 48 Wyoming Midland 18 8 9 Central City 66 46.18 47.07 48
Iowa Valley, 3-point underdog, wins by 58.
Glidden-Ralston, 5-point favorite, wins by 46.
23. 8 Rankings
Winfield-Mount Union, Bedford, and CAM lead.
#5 Remsen St Mary and #13 Clarksville are undefeated.
24. 8 Games
Nothing to report at this time.