2011 Championship Contenders
Example:
The winner of the 2009 (09) 4A championship was ranked #2 in week 5.
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 4A 1 2 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3A 3 11 3 3 2 1 8 14 3 1 4 2A 1 4 4 3 3 1 1 3 1 2 2 1A 5 1 1 1 2 3 16 1 1 5 3 A 30 3 4 2 5 2 2 3 1 7 4 8 4 1 3 1 4 1 2 9 28 1 1 44 22 19 11 17 9 30 31 35 18 16 Ranking at cumulative week 5 Championships probability probability 1st 24 36.4% 36.4% 2nd 11 16.7% 53.0% 3rd 12 18.2% 71.2% 4th 8 12.1% 83.3% 5th 3 4.5% 87.9% 6th 0 87.9% 7th 1 89.4% 8th 1 90.9% 9th 1 92.4% 10th 0 92.4% other 5 100.0% total 66
83% of championships are won by one of the top 4 teams in the week 5 rankings.
88% of championships are won by one of the top 5 teams in the week 5 rankings.
All other rankings 6th place to 30 place are equal in imperical probability: all long shots.
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Week 5 rankings, http://ia.bcmoorerankings.com/fb/2011/week5/, have now arrived.
Let us welcome the contenders!
4A
R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod Str Sched Rank Off Ave Def Ave
1 Southeast Polk CIML ( 4- 1) 128.32 1W 99.72 ( 3) 33.80 ( 12) 6.80 ( 3)
2 WDM Valley CIML ( 5- 0) 121.81 5W 82.74 ( 28) 44.00 ( 3) 14.60 ( 7)
3 Iowa City High MVC ( 5- 0) 118.00 5W 81.97 ( 31) 41.60 ( 6) 14.80 ( 8)
4 Ankeny CIML ( 6- 0) 117.04 6W 86.79 ( 21) 35.50 ( 10) 10.00 ( 4)
5 Bettendorf MAC ( 4- 1) 112.60 2W 83.24 ( 26) 31.80 ( 16) 6.60 ( 1)
3A
R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod Str Sched Rank Off Ave Def Ave
1 Adel ADM 3A-8 ( 5- 0) 121.26 5W 82.02 ( 30) 40.60 ( 3) 8.00 ( 3)
2 Webster City 3A-3 ( 5- 0) 116.44 5W 72.90 ( 52) 50.80 ( 1) 14.00 ( 17)
3 Carroll 3A-1 ( 5- 0) 113.75 5W 77.55 ( 40) 38.00 ( 10) 9.60 ( 4)
4 Maquoketa 3A-5 ( 4- 1) 111.84 4W 80.31 ( 37) 38.60 ( 7) 7.80 ( 2)
5 Decorah 3A-4 ( 4- 1) 103.85 4W 82.04 ( 29) 29.20 ( 17) 10.80 ( 7)
2A
R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod Str Sched Rank Off Ave Def Ave
1 Iowa City Regina 2A-5 ( 5- 0) 125.55 5W 69.01 ( 42) 43.40 ( 5) 3.20 ( 1)
2 West Marshall 2A-7 ( 5- 0) 113.69 5W 79.13 ( 14) 44.60 ( 3) 4.00 ( 2)
3 Spirit Lake 2A-1 ( 6- 0) 109.58 6W 76.34 ( 21) 43.50 ( 4) 8.83 ( 5)
4 Mediapolis 2A-6 ( 5- 0) 107.82 5W 75.54 ( 22) 36.60 ( 7) 9.20 ( 6)
5 Prairie City-Monroe 2A-8 ( 5- 0) 107.38 5W 59.35 ( 60) 50.00 ( 1) 10.20 ( 9)
1A
R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod Str Sched Rank Off Ave Def Ave
1 Panora Panorama 1A-7 ( 5- 0) 111.33 5W 54.49 ( 55) 47.20 ( 1) 8.00 ( 6)
2 Woodward-Granger 1A-4 ( 5- 0) 107.74 5W 75.40 ( 13) 30.40 ( 19) 2.60 ( 1)
3 CB St Albert 1A-8 ( 5- 0) 107.37 5W 65.17 ( 38) 40.40 ( 7) 11.60 ( 11)
4 Aplington AP 1A-3 ( 4- 1) 102.09 3W 85.85 ( 2) 27.20 ( 25) 14.20 ( 18)
5 Logan-Magnolia 1A-8 ( 5- 0) 101.37 5W 58.60 ( 49) 42.80 ( 5) 6.40 ( 2)
A
R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod Str Sched Rank Off Ave Def Ave
1 LeMars Gehlen A-1 ( 5- 0) 106.23 5W 58.97 ( 26) 44.60 ( 4) 12.40 ( 6)
2 Lone Tree A-5 ( 5- 0) 98.35 5W 43.80 ( 48) 52.40 ( 1) 7.80 ( 3)
3 Lisbon A-5 ( 5- 0) 96.61 5W 47.42 ( 43) 46.80 ( 3) 1.60 ( 2)
4 Traer North Tama A-4 ( 5- 0) 90.07 5W 39.95 ( 50) 49.60 ( 2) 0.00 ( 1)
5 Bedford A-8 ( 6- 0) 84.75 6W 54.97 ( 35) 42.33 ( 6) 16.50 ( 13)
8
R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod Str Sched Rank Off Ave Def Ave
1 East Mills 8-8 ( 5- 0) 109.68 5W 63.02 ( 13) 56.00 ( 8) 14.80 ( 8)
2 Tabor Fremont-Mills 8-8 ( 5- 0) 108.98 5W 48.85 ( 35) 70.20 ( 1) 8.00 ( 2)
3 Newell-Fonda 8-1 ( 5- 0) 103.60 5W 56.48 ( 25) 56.40 ( 6) 8.00 ( 1)
4 West Bend-Mallard 8-2 ( 5- 0) 103.57 5W 44.25 ( 44) 47.80 ( 16) 10.00 ( 3)
5 Janesville 8-3 ( 5- 0) 102.11 5W 47.54 ( 39) 57.40 ( 5) 12.60 ( 7)
2 responses to “2011 Championship Contenders”
You have part of a schedule wrong. In class 1a Woodward-Granger was on the road against Eagle Grove last week and will be at home against South Hamilton this week. Don’t think this changes much, but thought I would let you know.
Thank you very much for your help. Website will update tomorrow morning.