11/16 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Florida St             ACC (10- 0) 173.67 10W 121.73 ( 56)  52.70 (  2)  11.10 (  3)
    2  Oregon                 P12 ( 9- 1) 156.85  1W 124.69 ( 38)  50.90 (  3)  18.20 (  8)
    3  Baylor                 B12 ( 9- 0) 155.28  9W 118.78 ( 66)  61.22 (  1)  17.44 (  7)
    4  Alabama                SEC (10- 0) 153.13 10W 124.46 ( 40)  38.80 ( 17)  10.20 (  1)
    5  Wisconsin              B10 ( 8- 2) 151.78  5W 121.95 ( 54)  38.50 ( 19)  14.00 (  5)
    6  Stanford               P12 ( 8- 2) 150.43  1L 134.58 (  2)  30.40 ( 58)  19.50 ( 18)
    7  Arizona St             P12 ( 8- 2) 148.50  5W 132.47 (  4)  42.30 (  9)  24.40 ( 45)
    8  Ohio State             B10 (10- 0) 147.16 10W 117.41 ( 80)  49.40 (  4)  18.80 ( 13)
    9  Missouri               SEC ( 9- 1) 145.73  2W 123.48 ( 46)  41.30 ( 11)  20.20 ( 20)
   10  Washington             P12 ( 6- 4) 143.25  1L 129.50 ( 11)  36.60 ( 24)  23.70 ( 41)
   11  UCLA                   P12 ( 8- 2) 142.80  3W 128.42 ( 15)  37.00 ( 23)  23.70 ( 42)
   12  Clemson                ACC ( 9- 1) 142.72  3W 126.14 ( 25)  41.30 ( 12)  21.60 ( 26)
   13  LSU                    SEC ( 7- 3) 142.13  1L 125.54 ( 31)  37.90 ( 21)  23.50 ( 38)
   14  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 9- 1) 142.03  6W 121.56 ( 58)  40.40 ( 13)  19.00 ( 14)
   15  Michigan St            B10 ( 9- 1) 141.48  6W 116.37 ( 88)  30.90 ( 54)  13.20 (  4)
   16  Southern Cal           P12 ( 8- 3) 140.07  4W 130.64 (  9)  28.18 ( 69)  19.36 ( 16)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/14

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  26 Georgia Tech          31 1A  12 Clemson               55   8.25  10.46  24

11/15

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  10 Washington            31 1A  11 UCLA                  41   1.95   2.22  10

11/16

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   4 Alabama               20 1A  42 Mississippi St         7 -24.46 -20.68 -13
1A  55 Indiana                3 1A   5 Wisconsin             51  23.28  28.74  48
1A  15 Michigan St           41 1A  49 Nebraska              28  -9.51 -10.77 -13
1A   8 Ohio State            60 1A  73 Illinois              35 -25.08 -25.35 -25
1A  14 Oklahoma St           38 1A  36 Texas                 13  -4.70  -8.70 -25
1A  27 Oregon St             17 1A   7 Arizona St            30  17.33  16.59  13
1A   6 Stanford              17 1A  16 Southern Cal          20  -9.62  -7.70   3
1A  71 Syracuse               3 1A   1 Florida St            59  54.72  56.68  56
1A  43 Texas Tech            34 1A   3 Baylor                63  28.10  25.77  29
1A  22 Utah                  21 1A   2 Oregon                44  24.32  22.54  23

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor               Cl  Rk ( W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/23 1A   2 (9-1) Oregon                1A  24 ( 6-4) Arizona              -18.42  93%
11/23 1B  48 (5-6) The Citadel           1A  12 ( 9-1) Clemson               46.68 100%
11/23 1A  16 (8-3) Southern Cal          1A  79 ( 4-6) Colorado             -20.62  95%
11/23 1A 121 (1-9) Idaho                 1A   1 (10-0) Florida St            84.84 100%
11/23 1A  19 (8-2) Texas A&M             1A  13 ( 7-3) LSU                    5.14  66%
11/23 1A   5 (8-2) Wisconsin             1A  58 ( 8-2) Minnesota            -24.32  98%
11/23 1A   9 (9-1) Missouri              1A  25 ( 7-3) Mississippi           -7.40  73%
11/23 1A  15 (9-1) Michigan St           1A  53 ( 4-6) Northwestern         -12.48  84%
11/23 1A  55 (4-6) Indiana               1A   8 (10-0) Ohio State            24.13  97%
11/23 1A   3 (9-0) Baylor                1A  14 ( 9-1) Oklahoma St          -10.59  80%
11/23 1A  10 (6-4) Washington            1A  27 ( 6-4) Oregon St             -6.01  69%
11/23 1A   7 (8-2) Arizona St            1A  11 ( 8-2) UCLA                  -3.03  60%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

11/16 Weekly 4A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  WDM Dowling           4A-3 (13- 0) 208.48 13W 172.08 (  7)  40.23 (  5)  11.00 (  4)
    2  WDM Valley            4A-1 (10- 3) 203.79  1L 177.41 (  1)  42.38 (  3)  16.23 (  9)
    3  Waukee                4A-4 (10- 2) 195.85  1L 164.85 ( 27)  39.75 (  6)  10.75 (  3)
    4  CR Xavier              MVC (12- 1) 192.61  7W 167.15 ( 23)  31.00 ( 14)   5.23 (  1)
    5  Ames                  4A-2 (11- 1) 189.89  1L 162.58 ( 30)  48.75 (  1)  25.67 ( 23)
    6  Iowa City West         MVC ( 9- 2) 189.10  1L 165.73 ( 24)  41.73 (  4)  15.82 (  8)
    7  Urbandale             4A-1 ( 8- 3) 188.36  1L 167.82 ( 17)  47.82 (  2)  25.27 ( 22)
    8  Southeast Polk        4A-4 ( 7- 4) 185.43  1L 174.23 (  2)  34.45 (  8)  20.18 ( 14)
    9  Pleasant Valley        MAC (11- 1) 183.79  1L 157.42 ( 42)  36.33 (  7)   9.42 (  2)
   10  Bettendorf             MAC (10- 3) 181.12  1L 161.53 ( 32)  31.92 ( 12)  14.46 (  7)
   11  Sioux City East       4A-1 ( 7- 4) 178.67  1L 168.56 ( 14)  31.27 ( 13)  17.00 ( 10)
   12  CR Kennedy             MVC ( 8- 4) 178.42  1L 172.19 (  6)  24.25 ( 23)  18.25 ( 11)
   13  Davenport Assumption   MAC ( 9- 2) 177.87  1L 155.38 ( 45)  29.18 ( 16)  11.27 (  5)
   14  Ankeny Centennial     4A-3 ( 7- 4) 176.49  1L 172.38 (  5)  32.73 ( 11)  28.09 ( 28)
   15  Cedar Falls            MVC ( 7- 4) 175.44  1L 167.38 ( 21)  21.45 ( 31)  14.27 (  6)
   16  Iowa City High         MVC ( 8- 3) 173.97  1L 167.51 ( 19)  27.36 ( 19)  21.91 ( 18)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/15

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  10 Bettendorf             7 4A   4 CR Xavier             31   7.15  11.49  24
4A   2 WDM Valley             3 4A   1 WDM Dowling           17   1.69   4.69  14

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/22 4A  4 (12-1) CR Xavier            4A  1 (13-0) WDM Dowling           15.87  89%

Notes

Rankings have regional-parity bias: average of all teams in 4A Western Iowa = average of all teams in 4A Easte
rn Iowa.

Comments are welcome.

11/16 Weekly 3A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Sioux City Heelan     3A-2 (13- 0) 201.03 13W 160.56 (  6)  43.31 (  1)  10.77 (  4)
    2  Washington            3A-7 (12- 1) 183.12 11W 148.96 ( 30)  40.15 (  3)   9.46 (  2)
    3  Clear Lake            3A-3 (12- 1) 177.50  1L 158.10 (  9)  35.54 (  8)  14.85 ( 11)
    4  Carroll               3A-2 ( 8- 3) 175.02  1L 161.53 (  4)  27.45 ( 18)  12.00 (  7)
    5  Pella                 3A-8 (11- 1) 174.81  1L 154.01 ( 20)  30.42 ( 13)  11.17 (  6)
    6  Decorah               3A-5 (11- 1) 174.41  1L 146.55 ( 42)  37.17 (  4)  10.75 (  3)
    7  Solon                 3A-6 (11- 2) 172.64  1L 146.10 ( 44)  36.31 (  6)  14.54 ( 10)
    8  Harlan                3A-1 (10- 2) 172.45  1L 159.68 (  8)  26.42 ( 21)  14.08 (  9)
    9  Spencer               3A-2 ( 8- 3) 170.40  1L 160.18 (  7)  33.91 (  9)  22.00 ( 19)
   10  Dallas Center-Grimes  3A-4 ( 9- 2) 169.76  1L 147.55 ( 35)  29.27 ( 14)   8.09 (  1)
   11  Grinnell              3A-4 ( 8- 4) 169.10  1L 155.70 ( 14)  37.00 (  5)  26.50 ( 28)
   12  Webster City          3A-3 ( 8- 2) 166.13  1L 153.85 ( 21)  24.70 ( 30)  10.90 (  5)
   13  Williamsburg          3A-7 ( 8- 3) 165.68  1L 146.08 ( 45)  35.91 (  7)  13.82 (  8)
   14  Waverly-Shell Rock    3A-3 ( 7- 4) 165.44  1L 155.10 ( 18)  25.45 ( 26)  17.36 ( 14)
   15  Humboldt              3A-3 ( 6- 4) 162.08  1L 155.64 ( 15)  23.90 ( 33)  17.20 ( 13)
   16  West Delaware         3A-5 ( 9- 2) 161.74  1L 147.61 ( 34)  40.55 (  2)  27.82 ( 31)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/14

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A   3 Clear Lake            13 3A   1 Sioux City Heelan     48  16.63  23.53  35
3A   7 Solon                  9 3A   2 Washington            14  13.95  10.48   5

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/21 3A  2 (12-1) Washington           3A  1 (13-0) Sioux City Heelan     17.91  91%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

11/16 Weekly 2A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Carroll Kuemper       2A-8 (13- 0) 189.01 13W 141.76 ( 28)  43.69 (  2)   6.46 (  1)
    2  Waukon                2A-3 (12- 1) 188.04  4W 145.23 ( 15)  41.54 (  3)   7.92 (  2)
    3  Albia                 2A-6 (12- 1) 175.57  1L 143.11 ( 23)  38.31 (  6)  10.46 (  4)
    4  Sioux Center          2A-1 (10- 3) 175.34  1L 154.74 (  2)  31.23 ( 12)  11.46 (  5)
    5  Boyden-Hull-R Valley  2A-1 (10- 2) 172.23  1L 151.39 (  4)  33.00 ( 10)  13.58 ( 10)
    6  Spirit Lake           2A-2 ( 9- 2) 171.45  1L 144.62 ( 16)  40.82 (  4)  11.55 (  6)
    7  New Hampton           2A-3 (11- 1) 167.76  1L 147.24 ( 10)  29.92 ( 16)   9.50 (  3)
    8  Bondurant-Farrar      2A-6 ( 8- 3) 164.13  1L 140.13 ( 36)  44.55 (  1)  21.27 ( 24)
    9  Central Lyon CL-G-LR  2A-1 ( 7- 4) 163.41  1L 150.13 (  7)  27.55 ( 19)  14.09 ( 11)
   10  Dyersville Beckman    2A-4 ( 8- 3) 160.98  1L 142.97 ( 24)  38.09 (  7)  18.73 ( 16)
   11  West Marshall         2A-7 ( 9- 2) 159.07  1L 137.93 ( 44)  39.27 (  5)  15.82 ( 13)
   12  Mediapolis            2A-5 (11- 1) 158.07  1L 137.37 ( 46)  30.58 ( 14)  12.42 (  8)
   13  Wellman Mid-Prairie   2A-5 ( 8- 3) 157.63  1L 142.80 ( 25)  32.18 ( 11)  13.45 (  9)
   14  Gilbert               2A-7 ( 8- 4) 156.80  1L 143.75 ( 20)  30.67 ( 13)  19.08 ( 19)
   15  Garner GHV            2A-2 ( 7- 3) 154.28  1L 139.73 ( 38)  27.70 ( 18)  11.70 (  7)
   16  Hampton-Dumont        2A-3 ( 6- 4) 152.05  1L 143.30 ( 22)  24.50 ( 27)  14.80 ( 12)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/16

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
2A   2 Waukon                27 2A   3 Albia                 21 -14.42 -12.47  -6
2A   4 Sioux Center           6 2A   1 Carroll Kuemper       28  10.16  13.67  22

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/22 2A  2 (12-1) Waukon               2A  1 (13-0) Carroll Kuemper        0.97  53%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

11/16 Weekly 1A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 (13- 0) 181.86 13W 145.43 (  5)  40.46 (  3)   9.08 (  2)
    2  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-2 (13- 0) 173.12 13W 138.47 ( 24)  35.23 (  7)   7.00 (  1)
    3  Wilton                1A-6 ( 9- 2) 169.39  1L 140.49 ( 16)  40.91 (  2)  15.64 ( 10)
    4  North Fayette Valley  1A-4 (11- 2) 163.87  1L 134.20 ( 36)  39.62 (  4)  13.31 (  8)
    5  South Winneshiek      1A-4 ( 9- 3) 161.98  1L 142.94 (  9)  44.00 (  1)  23.42 ( 30)
    6  Dike-New Hartford     1A-3 (10- 1) 161.03  1L 134.65 ( 33)  39.45 (  5)  10.73 (  5)
    7  Manson NW Webster     1A-2 ( 8- 3) 160.03  1L 143.17 (  8)  31.64 ( 14)  16.45 ( 13)
    8  Guttenberg CR         1A-5 ( 9- 2) 157.31  1L 131.36 ( 44)  31.82 ( 13)  10.36 (  3)
    9  Van Meter             1A-7 (12- 1) 156.07  1L 133.18 ( 40)  32.69 (  9)  10.54 (  4)
   10  South O'Brien         1A-1 (10- 2) 155.45  1L 143.30 (  6)  27.50 ( 26)  15.83 ( 12)
   11  Maquoketa Valley      1A-5 (11- 1) 154.59  1L 141.91 ( 10)  27.58 ( 25)  15.08 (  9)
   12  CB St Albert          1A-8 (10- 1) 154.36  1L 129.98 ( 48)  38.45 (  6)  15.82 ( 11)
   13  Mount Ayr             1A-7 ( 8- 3) 153.47  1L 131.60 ( 43)  30.18 ( 16)  12.27 (  6)
   14  Holstein Ridge View   1A-2 ( 9- 2) 150.98  1L 140.57 ( 15)  32.18 ( 11)  21.27 ( 24)
   15  SumnerFredericksburg  1A-4 ( 6- 4) 149.85  1L 137.21 ( 27)  28.20 ( 21)  17.80 ( 15)
   16  West Branch           1A-6 ( 6- 4) 148.22  1L 141.58 ( 11)  31.30 ( 15)  24.90 ( 33)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/16

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   4 North Fayette Valley  21 1A   1 Iowa City Regina      45  15.00  17.98  24
1A   9 Van Meter             14 1A   2 Fort Dodge St Edmond  35  14.43  17.05  21

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/22 1A  2 (13-0) Fort Dodge St Edmond 1A  1 (13-0) Iowa City Regina       8.74  75%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.