10/03 Daily IA FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

10/03 - Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin

4A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A   8 Ankeny                35 4A  37 Des Moines East        7 -35.60 -37.28 -28
4A   5 Bettendorf            28 4A  17 Iowa City West        27 -30.93 -19.30  -1
4A  41 CB Jefferson           0 4A   9 Southeast Polk        56  57.42  56.90  56
4A  27 Des Moines Hoover     21 4A   7 Ankeny Centennial     52  22.36  26.31  31
4A  46 Des Moines North       0 4A  16 CB Lewis Central      56  65.70  67.16  56
4A  12 Eldridge North Scott  54 4A  40 Clinton                0 -48.60 -48.56 -54
4A   6 Johnston              42 4A  32 Des Moines Roosevelt   6 -33.10 -33.60 -36
4A  26 Ottumwa                2 4A   2 CR Washington         40  48.80  48.05  38
4A  15 Pleasant Valley       35 4A  30 Davenport Central     14 -13.78 -15.52 -21
4A  14 Sioux City East        3 4A   1 WDM Dowling           52  45.03  43.60  49
4A  21 Urbandale              0 4A   4 Waukee                41  36.58  37.73  41
4A   3 WDM Valley            56 4A  31 CB Lincoln             0 -47.20 -47.18 -56

3A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A  38 Boone                  0 3A   3 Carroll               44  41.00  41.79  44
2A   1 Clear Lake            27 3A   7 Waverly-Shell Rock     6 -15.70 -21.48 -21
3A  16 Dallas Center-Grimes  47 3A  44 Atlantic               7 -26.24 -26.49 -40
3A  15 Western Dubuque        7 3A   2 CR Xavier              6  29.00  19.91  -1
3A   6 Gilbert               14 3A  11 Bondurant-Farrar      22 -19.65  -4.95   8
3A  13 Humboldt              28 3A  27 Greene County         27 -16.86 -10.97  -1
3A   4 West Delaware         20 3A  21 Charles City          14 -26.20 -18.47  -6
3A   9 Newton                17 3A  18 Huxley Ballard        14  -5.51  -4.00  -3
3A  14 Norwalk               51 3A  49 Chariton               6 -25.94 -32.03 -45
3A   1 Pella                 17 3A   5 Carlisle               6 -11.32 -11.90 -11
3A  10 Sergeant Bluff-Luton  45 3A  56 Storm Lake             0 -56.30 -58.37 -45
3A   8 Sioux City Heelan     28 3A  26 Boyden-Hull-R Valley  12 -16.65 -15.34 -16
3A  12 Solon                 54 3A  36 Central Clinton       14  -8.57 -21.04 -40

2A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
2A   4 Albia                 55 2A  55 Davis County           0 -55.32 -70.92 -55
2A  12 Center Point-Urbana    7 2A  23 Mount Vernon          20 -30.14 -15.75  13
2A   5 Clarion-Goldfield-Do  41 2A  30 Forest City            6 -29.52 -33.64 -35
2A   1 Clear Lake            27 3A   7 Waverly-Shell Rock     6 -15.70 -21.48 -21
2A  14 Dyersville Beckman    13 2A   3 North Fayette Valley  33  17.02  17.44  20
2A  18 Estherville LC         7 2A   7 Hampton-Dumont        14  24.75  12.57   7
2A  11 LaPorte City Union    37 2A  34 Aplington AP           0 -21.75 -26.76 -37
2A  42 Milford Okoboji        0 2A   8 Central Lyon CL-G-LR  68  43.27  42.65  68
2A  28 Oelwein               14 2A   6 New Hampton           42  36.11  34.78  28
2A  10 Sioux Center          14 2A   2 Spirit Lake           20  25.74  16.73   6
2A  46 West Central Valley    6 2A  13 Clarinda              63  50.61  50.78  57
2A   9 Tama South Tama       49 2A  45 Roland-Story           7 -40.78 -41.92 -42
2A  25 Wellman Mid-Prairie   20 2A  16 Williamsburg          37  21.68  19.25  17
1A  32 Wilton                 7 2A  15 Mediapolis            41  38.36  32.32  34

1A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  50 Columbus Junction      6 1A   3 Iowa City Regina      52  65.68  67.86  46
1A  12 Dike-New Hartford     35 1A  45 Monona MFL-MarMac      6 -36.74 -35.31 -29
 A  24 Wapsie Valley          6 1A  15 SumnerFredericksburg  30  21.26  23.12  24
1A   5 Fort Dodge St Edmond  41 1A  14 Madrid                 6 -17.76 -21.58 -35
1A  21 Hinton                 7 1A   6 Inwood West Lyon      35  22.18  25.80  28
1A  16 Western Christian     14 2A  33 Sheldon                7  -5.42  -7.32  -7
1A  28 Jesup                 12 1A   1 South Winneshiek      60  53.32  51.41  48
1A   7 South Cent Calhoun    32 1A  13 Manson NW Webster      0   1.72 -11.04 -32
1A   4 IKM-Manning           44 1A  26 Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG    6 -34.11 -37.28 -38
1A  10 Saint Ansgar          27  A   8 Nashua-Plainfield     14 -18.10  -9.10 -13
1A   9 Stanwood North Cedar  26 1A  11 Bellevue              17  -6.16  -1.65  -9
1A   2 West Branch           53 1A  34 Durant                13 -47.77 -49.12 -40
1A  42 Woodward Academy       6 1A   8 Ogden                 55  50.40  41.37  49

A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 A   4 Ackley AGWSR          28  A  16 Denver                 6 -16.55 -18.22 -22
 A   5 Algona Garrigan       54  A  44 Greene North Butler   30 -45.50 -45.38 -24
 A  15 Bedford               14  A   7 Mount Ayr             38   0.11  15.04  24
 A  30 Colfax-Mingo          21  A   9 Montezuma             58  15.81  26.16  37
 A  58 Eldon Cardinal         0  A   2 Packwood Pekin        48  75.06  76.04  48
 A   3 Gladbrook-Reinbeck    50  A  55 Traer North Tama       7 -62.02 -60.66 -43
 A  38 Lawton-Bronson         0  A  11 Woodbury Central      35  33.41  31.15  35
 A  14 Lisbon                45  A  39 Arlington Starmont    18 -14.76 -23.57 -27
 A  53 Mapleton MVAO         12  A  10 Sloan Westwood        34  42.91  44.04  22
 A  37 Mason City Newman     16  A  13 Britt West Hancock    35  34.57  27.85  19
 A  26 Neola Tri-Center       0  A   1 Logan-Magnolia        48  45.84  41.90  48
 A  60 Oakland Riverside     12  A  12 Audubon               54  56.51  57.65  42
1A  10 Saint Ansgar          27  A   8 Nashua-Plainfield     14 -18.10  -9.10 -13
 A  48 North Linn            14  A   6 Maquoketa Valley      55  46.91  49.11  41

8

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 8  33 Adair-Casey           20  8   8 Glidden-Ralston       76  40.37  41.96  56
 8   1 Coon Rapids-Bayard    68  8  55 Murray                 7 -76.62 -81.74 -61
 8  22 River Valley          22  8  15 Dunlap Boyer Valley   40   6.22  12.10  18
 8  51 Clay Central-Everly    8  8  10 Marcus MMC            59  67.13  59.97  51
 8   4 Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb   65  8  52 Woodbine              22 -65.13 -67.53 -43
 8  16 Guthrie Center        58  8  56 Ankeny Christian      18 -56.44 -52.40 -40
 8  18 Turkey Valley         34  8   2 Elkader Central       64  21.51  30.00  30
 8   9 Janesville            69  8  34 Tripoli               22 -12.06 -37.91 -47
 8  13 Lamoni                68  8  49 Bussey Twin Cedars    28 -52.72 -50.04 -40
 8  60 Latimer CAL            6  8  11 Northwood-Kensett     60  73.46  77.77  54
 8  44 Remsen-Union          20  8   7 Ruthven GTRA          63  56.36  57.05  43
 8   3 Tabor Fremont-Mills   51  8  21 Stanton                6 -29.91 -29.76 -45
 8  14 Victor HLV            30  8   5 Don Bosco             48  18.42  18.00  18
 8   6 West Bend-Mallard     56  8  48 Laurens-Marathon       0 -60.33 -62.85 -56
 8  25 Westside Ar-We-Va     33  8  12 Newell-Fonda          39  32.70  22.22   6

2014 Championship Contenders

2014 Championship Contenders

Example:

The winner of the 2009 (09) 4A championship was ranked #2 in week 5.


   00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
4A  1  2  4  1  1  1  1  1  1  2  2  2  2  1
3A  3 11  3  3  2  1  8 14  3  1  4 12  2  1
2A  1  4  4  3  3  1  1  3  1  2  2  1  2  1
1A  5  1  1  1  2  3 16  1  1  5  3 10  2  1
A  30  3  4  2  5  2  2  3  1  7  4  3  1  1
8   4  1  3  1  4  1  2  9 28  1  1  2  8  3
   44 22 19 11 17  9 30 31 35 18 16 30 17  8

Ranking at                                cumulative
week 5       Championships  probability  probability
1st               31              36.9%        36.9%
2nd               17              20.2%        57.1%
3rd               14              16.7%        73.8%
4th                8               9.5%        83.3%  
5th                3               3.6%        86.9%
6th                0                           86.9%       
7th                1                           88.1%
8th                2                           90.5%
9th                1                           91.7%
10th               1                           92.9%
other              6                          100.0%
total             84

83% of championships are won by one of the top 4 teams in the week 5 rankings.

87% of championships are won by one of the top 5 teams in the week 5 rankings.

All othered ranked 6th to 30th place are all long shots.

——————-

Week 5 rankings, http://ia.bcmoorerankings.com/fb/2014/week5/, have now arrived.

Let us welcome the contenders!


4A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  WDM Dowling           4A-2 ( 4- 1) 215.84  1W 187.99 (  2)  38.00 (  5)  10.00 (  2)
   2  CR Washington         4A-6 ( 5- 0) 210.51  5W 171.74 (  9)  39.40 (  3)  11.40 (  4)
   3  WDM Valley            4A-3 ( 4- 1) 203.92  4W 187.01 (  3)  30.80 ( 14)  16.40 ( 13)
   4  Waukee                4A-4 ( 4- 1) 203.22  2W 189.05 (  1)  34.40 (  9)  20.20 ( 20)
   5  Bettendorf            4A-8 ( 5- 0) 201.52  5W 154.15 ( 33)  45.00 (  1)  11.40 (  3)

3A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  CR Xavier             3A-4 ( 4- 1) 193.50  4W 167.82 (  4)  33.60 (  9)   7.80 (  2)
   2  Pella                 3A-7 ( 5- 0) 193.34  5W 154.03 ( 30)  41.40 (  1)   6.80 (  1)
   3  West Delaware         3A-3 ( 5- 0) 189.98  5W 151.28 ( 39)  41.00 (  2)   7.80 (  3)
   4  Carroll               3A-2 ( 5- 0) 184.68  5W 154.24 ( 29)  39.80 (  4)  11.80 (  5)
   5  Gilbert               3A-6 ( 4- 1) 180.83  1W 157.92 ( 23)  40.40 (  3)  17.80 ( 15)

2A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  Clear Lake            2A-2 ( 5- 0) 194.49  5W 152.06 ( 12)  44.00 (  4)  11.80 (  8)
   2  Spirit Lake           2A-1 ( 5- 0) 183.48  5W 138.04 ( 35)  47.60 (  1)  12.80 (  9)
   3  North Fayette Valley  2A-3 ( 4- 1) 179.95  2W 157.20 (  7)  32.20 ( 15)  11.20 (  7)
   4  Hampton-Dumont        2A-2 ( 5- 0) 178.46  5W 138.96 ( 34)  45.40 (  3)   6.80 (  2)
   5  New Hampton           2A-3 ( 4- 1) 175.19  1W 153.17 (  9)  31.60 ( 17)   9.60 (  4)

1A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  South Winneshiek      1A-4 ( 5- 0) 184.43  5W 145.98 (  3)  39.20 (  6)   8.00 (  4)
   2  West Branch           1A-5 ( 5- 0) 177.81  5W 137.37 ( 23)  43.20 (  1)   7.60 (  3)
   3  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 ( 4- 1) 175.59  4W 138.84 ( 18)  40.40 (  4)  13.80 ( 10)
   4  IKM-Manning           1A-1 ( 5- 0) 170.25  5W 125.97 ( 43)  40.20 (  5)   7.40 (  2)
   5  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-7 ( 5- 0) 167.95  5W 136.56 ( 26)  40.80 (  3)  10.60 (  6)

A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  Logan-Magnolia         A-1 ( 5- 0) 164.37  5W 116.97 ( 43)  49.60 (  1)   7.80 (  2)
   2  Gladbrook-Reinbeck     A-4 ( 4- 1) 163.05  4W 134.99 (  8)  41.40 (  5)  10.00 (  5)
   3  Packwood Pekin         A-6 ( 5- 0) 162.32  5W 119.92 ( 37)  48.40 (  2)   8.20 (  3)
   4  Ackley AGWSR           A-4 ( 5- 0) 157.43  5W 127.17 ( 19)  37.80 (  8)  11.60 (  7)
   5  Algona Garrigan        A-3 ( 3- 2) 153.25  2W 136.06 (  7)  30.40 ( 14)  18.60 ( 17)

8

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  Coon Rapids-Bayard     8-7 ( 5- 0) 121.84  5W  75.15 ( 26)  50.00 ( 14)  11.00 (  3)
   2  Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    8-1 ( 5- 0) 119.26  5W  68.80 ( 33)  64.40 (  3)  16.00 (  9)
   3  Tabor Fremont-Mills    8-8 ( 5- 0) 118.72  5W  74.94 ( 28)  51.20 ( 12)  18.20 ( 16)
   4  West Bend-Mallard      8-2 ( 4- 1) 117.25  1W  89.08 ( 11)  32.40 ( 37)  14.60 (  7)
   5  Ruthven GTRA           8-2 ( 4- 1) 114.91  2W  89.29 (  8)  41.60 ( 20)  19.40 ( 17)

09/27 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oklahoma               Big ( 4- 0) 190.73  4W 159.18 ( 13)  44.75 (  9)  16.50 ( 17)
    2  Auburn                Sout ( 4- 0) 189.11  4W 160.26 (  9)  42.25 ( 15)  16.25 ( 16)
    3  Texas A&M             Sout ( 5- 0) 186.63  5W 144.06 ( 98)  51.20 (  2)  15.00 ( 14)
    4  Alabama               Sout ( 4- 0) 186.09  4W 155.19 ( 27)  42.00 ( 16)  14.00 ( 10)
    5  Baylor                 Big ( 4- 0) 184.38  4W 143.92 (100)  56.75 (  1)  13.75 (  8)
    6  Notre Dame            Foot ( 4- 0) 182.41  4W 150.74 ( 51)  35.00 ( 48)  11.50 (  4)
    7  TCU                    Big ( 3- 0) 181.15  3W 140.48 (112)  44.67 ( 10)   7.00 (  2)
    8  Mississippi           Sout ( 4- 0) 180.17  4W 145.74 ( 86)  39.00 ( 30)   8.50 (  3)
    9  Oregon                Paci ( 4- 0) 178.97  4W 151.68 ( 46)  48.50 (  4)  21.25 ( 43)
   10  Mississippi St        Sout ( 4- 0) 178.03  4W 147.28 ( 77)  41.25 ( 21)  16.50 ( 18)
   11  Georgia               Sout ( 3- 1) 176.76  2W 155.62 ( 25)  45.25 (  8)  22.75 ( 51)
   12  Maryland               Big ( 4- 1) 175.81  2W 150.51 ( 54)  36.80 ( 42)  19.80 ( 32)
   13  Brigham Young         Foot ( 4- 0) 175.69  4W 153.01 ( 42)  37.50 ( 39)  18.75 ( 25)
   14  UCLA                  Paci ( 4- 0) 174.96  4W 161.22 (  8)  38.00 ( 36)  24.75 ( 63)
   15  West Virginia          Big ( 2- 2) 174.14  1L 167.15 (  4)  37.50 ( 40)  28.75 ( 84)
   16  Florida St            Atla ( 4- 0) 173.57  4W 153.92 ( 37)  38.25 ( 35)  25.25 ( 66)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/25

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  14 UCLA                  62 1A  78 Arizona St            27  -1.32 -23.79 -35

09/27

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  21 Arkansas              28 1A   3 Texas A&M             35  21.61  15.57   7
1A   5 Baylor                49 1A  60 Iowa St               28 -29.28 -26.74 -21
1A  16 Florida St            56 1A  49 North Carolina St     41 -13.76 -13.54 -15
1A  51 Louisiana Tech        17 1A   2 Auburn                45  30.50  32.65  28
1A  12 Maryland              37 1A  61 Indiana               15 -11.96 -18.75 -22
1A  35 Memphis                3 1A   8 Mississippi           24  21.61  17.06  21
1A   6 Notre Dame            31 1A  37 Syracuse              15 -23.73 -18.31 -16
1A   7 TCU                   56 1A 124 SMU                    0 -42.48 -52.64 -56
1A  23 Tennessee             32 1A  11 Georgia               35  19.91   7.62   3

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/02 1A  46 (4-0) Arizona               1A   9 (4-0) Oregon                21.04  82%
10/03 1A  83 (2-2) Utah St               1A  13 (4-0) Brigham Young         28.35  89%
10/04 1A  22 (4-1) LSU                   1A   2 (4-0) Auburn                19.79  80%
10/04 1A 110 (2-3) Wake Forest           1A  16 (4-0) Florida St            39.22  95%
10/04 1A 109 (1-4) Vanderbilt            1A  11 (3-1) Georgia               40.11  96%
10/04 1A  31 (3-1) Ohio State            1A  12 (4-1) Maryland              11.87  69%
10/04 1A   3 (5-0) Texas A&M             1A  10 (4-0) Mississippi St        -7.09  62%
10/04 1A  32 (3-1) Stanford              1A   6 (4-0) Notre Dame            18.69  79%
10/04 1A   5 (4-0) Baylor                1A  40 (2-2) Texas                -19.30  80%
10/04 1A  36 (3-1) Utah                  1A  14 (4-0) UCLA                  12.12  70%
10/04 1A  91 (2-2) Kansas                1A  15 (2-2) West Virginia         31.60  91%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

09/27 Weekly 4A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  WDM Dowling           4A-2 ( 4- 1) 215.84  1W 187.99 (  2)  38.00 (  5)  10.00 (  2)
    2  CR Washington         4A-6 ( 5- 0) 210.51  5W 171.74 (  9)  39.40 (  3)  11.40 (  4)
    3  WDM Valley            4A-3 ( 4- 1) 203.92  4W 187.01 (  3)  30.80 ( 14)  16.40 ( 13)
    4  Waukee                4A-4 ( 4- 1) 203.22  2W 189.05 (  1)  34.40 (  9)  20.20 ( 20)
    5  Bettendorf            4A-8 ( 5- 0) 201.52  5W 154.15 ( 33)  45.00 (  1)  11.40 (  3)
    6  Johnston              4A-2 ( 4- 1) 189.88  1W 168.88 ( 16)  27.80 ( 21)  15.80 ( 12)
    7  Ankeny Centennial     4A-3 ( 4- 1) 185.06  1W 164.98 ( 24)  35.80 (  7)  15.20 ( 10)
    8  Ankeny                4A-1 ( 3- 2) 184.85  2W 165.77 ( 23)  30.80 ( 15)  13.20 (  7)
    9  Ames                  4A-1 ( 3- 2) 182.89  1L 168.82 ( 17)  27.40 ( 22)  13.80 (  8)
   10  Eldridge North Scott  4A-8 ( 4- 1) 181.21  1W 171.51 ( 10)  21.60 ( 30)  12.60 (  6)
   11  Southeast Polk        4A-1 ( 2- 3) 181.20  2W 185.67 (  4)  28.40 ( 20)  27.80 ( 30)
   12  Marion Linn-Mar       4A-5 ( 4- 1) 180.18  1W 162.46 ( 28)  30.60 ( 16)  14.60 (  9)
   13  Muscatine             4A-6 ( 3- 2) 175.35  1L 171.20 ( 11)  30.20 ( 17)  25.60 ( 26)
   14  Pleasant Valley       4A-7 ( 2- 3) 174.00  2W 170.16 ( 13)  26.80 ( 24)  19.80 ( 18)
   15  Cedar Falls           4A-5 ( 4- 1) 173.52  3W 157.81 ( 32)  22.80 ( 28)   9.40 (  1)
   16  Dubuque Hempstead     4A-7 ( 4- 1) 172.95  4W 150.48 ( 39)  36.60 (  6)  11.80 (  5)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/26

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A   9 Ames                  14 4A   8 Ankeny                20   3.18   3.45   6
4A   7 Ankeny Centennial     63 4A  45 Sioux City West        0 -62.86 -64.38 -63
4A  15 Cedar Falls           42 4A  34 Waterloo West         10 -16.04 -19.83 -32
4A  40 Clinton                6 4A   5 Bettendorf            52  67.07  71.89  46
4A  17 CB Lewis Central      10 4A   1 WDM Dowling           51  44.61  44.63  41
4A  43 Davenport North        6 4A  14 Pleasant Valley       63  53.13  53.32  57
4A  44 Davenport West         0 4A  16 Dubuque Hempstead     63  48.16  52.53  63
4A  35 Des Moines East        0 4A  11 Southeast Polk        52  43.09  34.93  52
4A  46 Des Moines North       6 4A   6 Johnston              45  80.01  82.86  39
4A  19 Dubuque Senior        20 4A  10 Eldridge North Scott  28  14.15  10.57   8
4A  13 Muscatine             21 4A   2 CR Washington         42  42.04  36.65  21
4A  41 Waterloo East          0 4A  12 Marion Linn-Mar       45  61.74  53.87  45
4A   4 Waukee                45 4A  33 Marshalltown           2 -55.80 -48.78 -43
4A   3 WDM Valley            55 4A  25 Des Moines Hoover     13 -45.25 -38.24 -42

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/02 4A 12 (4-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A 24 (0-5) CR Kennedy           -11.48  67%
10/02 4A 22 (3-2) CR Jefferson         4A 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls            6.63  60%
10/02 4A 16 (4-1) Dubuque Hempstead    4A 43 (1-4) Davenport North      -49.28  97%
10/02 4A  9 (3-2) Ames                 4A 32 (3-2) Sioux City North     -27.82  85%
10/03 4A 25 (3-2) Des Moines Hoover    4A  7 (4-1) Ankeny Centennial     22.37  80%
10/03 4A  3 (4-1) WDM Valley           4A 31 (3-2) CB Lincoln           -47.24  96%
10/03 4A 27 (4-1) Ottumwa              4A  2 (5-0) CR Washington         48.77  97%
10/03 4A 10 (4-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A 40 (1-4) Clinton              -48.59  97%
10/03 4A 14 (2-3) Pleasant Valley      4A 29 (2-3) Davenport Central    -13.78  70%
10/03 4A  8 (3-2) Ankeny               4A 35 (2-3) Des Moines East      -35.60  91%
10/03 4A  6 (4-1) Johnston             4A 30 (2-3) Des Moines Roosevelt -33.11  89%
10/03 4A  5 (5-0) Bettendorf           4A 21 (3-2) Iowa City West       -30.93  88%
10/03 4A 37 (3-2) Burlington           4A 13 (3-2) Muscatine             31.99  89%
10/03 4A 42 (1-4) CB Jefferson         4A 11 (2-3) Southeast Polk        57.56  98%
10/03 4A 18 (5-0) Sioux City East      4A  1 (4-1) WDM Dowling           45.07  95%
10/03 4A 23 (2-3) Urbandale            4A  4 (4-1) Waukee                36.58  92%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

09/27 Weekly 3A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  CR Xavier             3A-4 ( 4- 1) 193.50  4W 167.82 (  4)  33.60 (  9)   7.80 (  2)
    2  Pella                 3A-7 ( 5- 0) 193.34  5W 154.03 ( 30)  41.40 (  1)   6.80 (  1)
    3  West Delaware         3A-3 ( 5- 0) 189.98  5W 151.28 ( 39)  41.00 (  2)   7.80 (  3)
    4  Carroll               3A-2 ( 5- 0) 184.68  5W 154.24 ( 29)  39.80 (  4)  11.80 (  5)
    5  Gilbert               3A-6 ( 4- 1) 180.83  1W 157.92 ( 23)  40.40 (  3)  17.80 ( 15)
    6  Carlisle              3A-7 ( 4- 1) 180.54  4W 159.10 ( 20)  36.00 (  7)  18.60 ( 18)
    7  Waverly-Shell Rock    3A-3 ( 4- 1) 177.32  2W 159.18 ( 19)  30.60 ( 14)  13.20 (  7)
    8  Newton                3A-6 ( 4- 1) 174.22  1L 153.89 ( 32)  36.20 (  6)  17.80 ( 17)
    9  Sioux City Heelan     3A-1 ( 4- 1) 171.32  4W 157.03 ( 25)  32.60 ( 11)  20.20 ( 22)
   10  Humboldt              3A-2 ( 4- 1) 169.87  1W 152.41 ( 35)  31.40 ( 13)  13.00 (  6)
   11  Huxley Ballard        3A-6 ( 4- 1) 167.23  1L 158.45 ( 21)  32.80 ( 10)  22.20 ( 28)
   12  Dallas Center-Grimes  3A-8 ( 4- 1) 167.10  3W 163.13 (  9)  25.40 ( 21)  20.40 ( 23)
   13  Sergeant Bluff-Luton  3A-1 ( 3- 2) 166.34  1L 151.61 ( 38)  39.20 (  5)  19.60 ( 20)
   14  Western Dubuque       3A-4 ( 3- 2) 165.98  1W 162.00 ( 10)  17.80 ( 39)  14.80 ( 12)
   15  Solon                 3A-4 ( 4- 1) 165.45  2W 164.18 (  7)  22.40 ( 27)  18.80 ( 19)
   16  Norwalk               3A-7 ( 2- 3) 164.71  1W 160.20 ( 15)  24.40 ( 24)  19.80 ( 21)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/26

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A  42 Algona                 7 3A  10 Humboldt              41  32.03  30.59  34
3A   4 Carroll               43 3A  33 Perry                 10 -39.38 -34.24 -33
3A  53 Cresco Crestwood       0 3A   3 West Delaware         53  51.64  59.80  53
3A  12 Dallas Center-Grimes  45 3A  37 Boone                 27 -23.56 -20.42 -18
3A  25 Dubuque Wahlert       21 3A  14 Western Dubuque       27  14.98  10.75   6
3A  11 Huxley Ballard        14 3A   6 Carlisle              49 -13.01  14.80  35
3A  48 Knoxville              0 3A   2 Pella                 28  62.08  56.58  28
3A  45 Maquoketa              6 3A   1 CR Xavier             49  61.36  56.21  43
3A   8 Newton                29 3A   5 Gilbert               42  22.19   8.11  13
3A  55 Saydel                 6 3A  16 Norwalk               49  48.63  50.12  43
3A  13 Sergeant Bluff-Luton  36 3A   9 Sioux City Heelan     42   7.85   6.48   6
3A  18 Washington            17 3A  15 Solon                 28   6.34   4.29  11
3A   7 Waverly-Shell Rock    24 3A  22 Decorah                3  -9.93 -14.22 -21

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/03 3A 12 (4-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A 43 (2-3) Atlantic             -26.37  84%
10/03 3A  5 (4-1) Gilbert              3A 23 (3-2) Bondurant-Farrar     -19.64  77%
10/03 3A  9 (4-1) Sioux City Heelan    3A 28 (2-3) Boyden-Hull-R Valley -16.64  73%
10/03 3A 14 (3-2) Western Dubuque      3A  1 (4-1) CR Xavier             29.01  86%
10/03 3A  2 (5-0) Pella                3A  6 (4-1) Carlisle             -11.31  66%
10/03 3A 37 (0-5) Boone                3A  4 (5-0) Carroll               40.98  94%
10/03 3A 15 (4-1) Solon                3A 27 (3-2) Central Clinton       -8.57  63%
10/03 3A 16 (2-3) Norwalk              3A 50 (4-1) Chariton             -26.02  84%
10/03 3A  3 (5-0) West Delaware        3A 19 (4-1) Charles City         -26.20  84%
10/03 3A 10 (4-1) Humboldt             3A 30 (2-3) Greene County        -16.87  74%
10/03 3A  8 (4-1) Newton               3A 11 (4-1) Huxley Ballard        -5.49  58%
10/03 3A 13 (3-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A 56 (1-4) Storm Lake           -56.30  98%
10/03 2A  1 (5-0) Clear Lake           3A  7 (4-1) Waverly-Shell Rock   -15.69  72%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.