2018-11-17 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Alabama                SEC (11- 0) 203.19 11W 158.49 ( 48)  48.73 (  3)  13.09 (  3)
    2  Georgia                SEC (10- 1) 185.64  4W 162.24 ( 22)  39.64 ( 15)  16.82 ( 12)
    3  Clemson                ACC (11- 0) 185.55 11W 157.33 ( 54)  44.73 (  5)  12.09 (  1)
    4  Michigan               B10 (10- 1) 185.13 10W 161.18 ( 32)  36.64 ( 24)  13.55 (  4)
    5  Oklahoma               B12 (10- 1) 180.61  5W 161.82 ( 26)  49.55 (  1)  30.73 ( 86)
    6  West Virginia          B12 ( 8- 2) 179.90  1L 160.72 ( 36)  40.90 (  9)  23.30 ( 43)
    7  Notre Dame            Divi (11- 0) 179.18 11W 159.88 ( 42)  34.64 ( 27)  17.27 ( 15)
    8  Mississippi St         SEC ( 7- 4) 177.49  1W 162.59 ( 20)  28.55 ( 69)  12.82 (  2)
    9  Missouri               SEC ( 7- 4) 177.36  3W 166.88 (  1)  36.82 ( 21)  26.64 ( 62)
   10  LSU                    SEC ( 9- 2) 177.01  2W 161.95 ( 23)  28.09 ( 75)  16.09 (  8)
   11  Iowa                   B10 ( 7- 4) 177.01  1W 161.82 ( 25)  31.55 ( 49)  16.45 (  9)
   12  Washington St          P12 (10- 1) 175.68  7W 157.47 ( 53)  40.45 ( 11)  22.64 ( 39)
   13  Ohio State             B10 (10- 1) 173.87  3W 159.44 ( 44)  41.64 (  8)  24.64 ( 52)
   14  Central Florida       Amer (10- 0) 173.75 10W 148.68 (109)  43.60 (  6)  20.40 ( 22)
   15  Penn State             B10 ( 8- 3) 173.63  2W 162.33 ( 21)  34.27 ( 29)  21.55 ( 31)
   16  Fresno St             MntW ( 9- 2) 173.44  1W 151.79 ( 87)  36.73 ( 23)  13.55 (  5)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/17

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  73 Arizona               28 1A  12 Washington St         69  17.15  21.66  41
1A  91 Arkansas               6 1A   8 Mississippi St        52  25.92  29.27  46
1A  43 Cincinnati            13 1A  14 Central Florida       38   6.37  11.21  25
1A  44 Duke                   6 1A   3 Clemson               35  23.09  23.42  29
1A  56 Indiana               20 1A   4 Michigan              31  30.54  26.61  11
1A  11 Iowa                  63 1A 104 Illinois               0 -23.73 -30.59 -63
1A  76 Kansas                40 1A   5 Oklahoma              55  27.62  26.99  15
1A 118 Massachusetts         27 1A   2 Georgia               66  48.82  48.24  39
1A   9 Missouri              50 1A  59 Tennessee             17 -10.23 -15.42 -33
1A   7 Notre Dame            36 1A  38 Syracuse               3  -8.32 -13.54 -33
1A  13 Ohio State            52 1A  42 Maryland              51  -9.30  -6.80  -1
1A  15 Penn State            20 1A 107 Rutgers                7 -31.53 -27.76 -13
1A 130 Rice                  10 1A  10 LSU                   42  53.12  51.98  32
1A  69 San Diego St          14 1A  16 Fresno St             23  19.23  18.50   9
1B  49 The Citadel           17 1A   1 Alabama               50  71.08  75.08  33
1A   6 West Virginia         41 1A  32 Oklahoma St           45 -13.54  -9.99   4

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/22 1A   8 ( 7-4) Mississippi St        1A  53 ( 5-6) Mississippi          -13.33  85%
11/23 1A  60 ( 4-7) Nebraska              1A  11 ( 7-4) Iowa                  19.72  94%
11/23 1A  14 (10-0) Central Florida       1A  92 ( 7-4) South Florida        -21.31  95%
11/23 1A  26 ( 8-3) Washington            1A  12 (10-1) Washington St          8.52  75%
11/24 1A  20 ( 7-4) Auburn                1A   1 (11-0) Alabama               33.72 100%
11/24 1A  25 ( 6-4) South Carolina        1A   3 (11-0) Clemson               18.20  92%
11/24 1A  47 ( 7-4) Georgia Tech          1A   2 (10-1) Georgia               24.28  97%
11/24 1A  91 ( 2-9) Arkansas              1A   9 ( 7-4) Missouri              29.14  99%
11/24 1A  42 ( 5-6) Maryland              1A  15 ( 8-3) Penn State            11.05  81%
11/24 1A  10 ( 9-2) LSU                   1A  18 ( 7-4) Texas A&M             -2.37  57%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

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