2014 Championship Contenders

2014 Championship Contenders

Example:

The winner of the 2009 (09) 4A championship was ranked #2 in week 5.


   00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
4A  1  2  4  1  1  1  1  1  1  2  2  2  2  1
3A  3 11  3  3  2  1  8 14  3  1  4 12  2  1
2A  1  4  4  3  3  1  1  3  1  2  2  1  2  1
1A  5  1  1  1  2  3 16  1  1  5  3 10  2  1
A  30  3  4  2  5  2  2  3  1  7  4  3  1  1
8   4  1  3  1  4  1  2  9 28  1  1  2  8  3
   44 22 19 11 17  9 30 31 35 18 16 30 17  8

Ranking at                                cumulative
week 5       Championships  probability  probability
1st               31              36.9%        36.9%
2nd               17              20.2%        57.1%
3rd               14              16.7%        73.8%
4th                8               9.5%        83.3%  
5th                3               3.6%        86.9%
6th                0                           86.9%       
7th                1                           88.1%
8th                2                           90.5%
9th                1                           91.7%
10th               1                           92.9%
other              6                          100.0%
total             84

83% of championships are won by one of the top 4 teams in the week 5 rankings.

87% of championships are won by one of the top 5 teams in the week 5 rankings.

All othered ranked 6th to 30th place are all long shots.

——————-

Week 5 rankings, http://ia.bcmoorerankings.com/fb/2014/week5/, have now arrived.

Let us welcome the contenders!


4A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  WDM Dowling           4A-2 ( 4- 1) 215.84  1W 187.99 (  2)  38.00 (  5)  10.00 (  2)
   2  CR Washington         4A-6 ( 5- 0) 210.51  5W 171.74 (  9)  39.40 (  3)  11.40 (  4)
   3  WDM Valley            4A-3 ( 4- 1) 203.92  4W 187.01 (  3)  30.80 ( 14)  16.40 ( 13)
   4  Waukee                4A-4 ( 4- 1) 203.22  2W 189.05 (  1)  34.40 (  9)  20.20 ( 20)
   5  Bettendorf            4A-8 ( 5- 0) 201.52  5W 154.15 ( 33)  45.00 (  1)  11.40 (  3)

3A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  CR Xavier             3A-4 ( 4- 1) 193.50  4W 167.82 (  4)  33.60 (  9)   7.80 (  2)
   2  Pella                 3A-7 ( 5- 0) 193.34  5W 154.03 ( 30)  41.40 (  1)   6.80 (  1)
   3  West Delaware         3A-3 ( 5- 0) 189.98  5W 151.28 ( 39)  41.00 (  2)   7.80 (  3)
   4  Carroll               3A-2 ( 5- 0) 184.68  5W 154.24 ( 29)  39.80 (  4)  11.80 (  5)
   5  Gilbert               3A-6 ( 4- 1) 180.83  1W 157.92 ( 23)  40.40 (  3)  17.80 ( 15)

2A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  Clear Lake            2A-2 ( 5- 0) 194.49  5W 152.06 ( 12)  44.00 (  4)  11.80 (  8)
   2  Spirit Lake           2A-1 ( 5- 0) 183.48  5W 138.04 ( 35)  47.60 (  1)  12.80 (  9)
   3  North Fayette Valley  2A-3 ( 4- 1) 179.95  2W 157.20 (  7)  32.20 ( 15)  11.20 (  7)
   4  Hampton-Dumont        2A-2 ( 5- 0) 178.46  5W 138.96 ( 34)  45.40 (  3)   6.80 (  2)
   5  New Hampton           2A-3 ( 4- 1) 175.19  1W 153.17 (  9)  31.60 ( 17)   9.60 (  4)

1A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  South Winneshiek      1A-4 ( 5- 0) 184.43  5W 145.98 (  3)  39.20 (  6)   8.00 (  4)
   2  West Branch           1A-5 ( 5- 0) 177.81  5W 137.37 ( 23)  43.20 (  1)   7.60 (  3)
   3  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 ( 4- 1) 175.59  4W 138.84 ( 18)  40.40 (  4)  13.80 ( 10)
   4  IKM-Manning           1A-1 ( 5- 0) 170.25  5W 125.97 ( 43)  40.20 (  5)   7.40 (  2)
   5  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-7 ( 5- 0) 167.95  5W 136.56 ( 26)  40.80 (  3)  10.60 (  6)

A

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  Logan-Magnolia         A-1 ( 5- 0) 164.37  5W 116.97 ( 43)  49.60 (  1)   7.80 (  2)
   2  Gladbrook-Reinbeck     A-4 ( 4- 1) 163.05  4W 134.99 (  8)  41.40 (  5)  10.00 (  5)
   3  Packwood Pekin         A-6 ( 5- 0) 162.32  5W 119.92 ( 37)  48.40 (  2)   8.20 (  3)
   4  Ackley AGWSR           A-4 ( 5- 0) 157.43  5W 127.17 ( 19)  37.80 (  8)  11.60 (  7)
   5  Algona Garrigan        A-3 ( 3- 2) 153.25  2W 136.06 (  7)  30.40 ( 14)  18.60 ( 17)

8

   R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
   1  Coon Rapids-Bayard     8-7 ( 5- 0) 121.84  5W  75.15 ( 26)  50.00 ( 14)  11.00 (  3)
   2  Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    8-1 ( 5- 0) 119.26  5W  68.80 ( 33)  64.40 (  3)  16.00 (  9)
   3  Tabor Fremont-Mills    8-8 ( 5- 0) 118.72  5W  74.94 ( 28)  51.20 ( 12)  18.20 ( 16)
   4  West Bend-Mallard      8-2 ( 4- 1) 117.25  1W  89.08 ( 11)  32.40 ( 37)  14.60 (  7)
   5  Ruthven GTRA           8-2 ( 4- 1) 114.91  2W  89.29 (  8)  41.60 ( 20)  19.40 ( 17)

09/27 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oklahoma               Big ( 4- 0) 190.73  4W 159.18 ( 13)  44.75 (  9)  16.50 ( 17)
    2  Auburn                Sout ( 4- 0) 189.11  4W 160.26 (  9)  42.25 ( 15)  16.25 ( 16)
    3  Texas A&M             Sout ( 5- 0) 186.63  5W 144.06 ( 98)  51.20 (  2)  15.00 ( 14)
    4  Alabama               Sout ( 4- 0) 186.09  4W 155.19 ( 27)  42.00 ( 16)  14.00 ( 10)
    5  Baylor                 Big ( 4- 0) 184.38  4W 143.92 (100)  56.75 (  1)  13.75 (  8)
    6  Notre Dame            Foot ( 4- 0) 182.41  4W 150.74 ( 51)  35.00 ( 48)  11.50 (  4)
    7  TCU                    Big ( 3- 0) 181.15  3W 140.48 (112)  44.67 ( 10)   7.00 (  2)
    8  Mississippi           Sout ( 4- 0) 180.17  4W 145.74 ( 86)  39.00 ( 30)   8.50 (  3)
    9  Oregon                Paci ( 4- 0) 178.97  4W 151.68 ( 46)  48.50 (  4)  21.25 ( 43)
   10  Mississippi St        Sout ( 4- 0) 178.03  4W 147.28 ( 77)  41.25 ( 21)  16.50 ( 18)
   11  Georgia               Sout ( 3- 1) 176.76  2W 155.62 ( 25)  45.25 (  8)  22.75 ( 51)
   12  Maryland               Big ( 4- 1) 175.81  2W 150.51 ( 54)  36.80 ( 42)  19.80 ( 32)
   13  Brigham Young         Foot ( 4- 0) 175.69  4W 153.01 ( 42)  37.50 ( 39)  18.75 ( 25)
   14  UCLA                  Paci ( 4- 0) 174.96  4W 161.22 (  8)  38.00 ( 36)  24.75 ( 63)
   15  West Virginia          Big ( 2- 2) 174.14  1L 167.15 (  4)  37.50 ( 40)  28.75 ( 84)
   16  Florida St            Atla ( 4- 0) 173.57  4W 153.92 ( 37)  38.25 ( 35)  25.25 ( 66)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/25

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  14 UCLA                  62 1A  78 Arizona St            27  -1.32 -23.79 -35

09/27

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  21 Arkansas              28 1A   3 Texas A&M             35  21.61  15.57   7
1A   5 Baylor                49 1A  60 Iowa St               28 -29.28 -26.74 -21
1A  16 Florida St            56 1A  49 North Carolina St     41 -13.76 -13.54 -15
1A  51 Louisiana Tech        17 1A   2 Auburn                45  30.50  32.65  28
1A  12 Maryland              37 1A  61 Indiana               15 -11.96 -18.75 -22
1A  35 Memphis                3 1A   8 Mississippi           24  21.61  17.06  21
1A   6 Notre Dame            31 1A  37 Syracuse              15 -23.73 -18.31 -16
1A   7 TCU                   56 1A 124 SMU                    0 -42.48 -52.64 -56
1A  23 Tennessee             32 1A  11 Georgia               35  19.91   7.62   3

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/02 1A  46 (4-0) Arizona               1A   9 (4-0) Oregon                21.04  82%
10/03 1A  83 (2-2) Utah St               1A  13 (4-0) Brigham Young         28.35  89%
10/04 1A  22 (4-1) LSU                   1A   2 (4-0) Auburn                19.79  80%
10/04 1A 110 (2-3) Wake Forest           1A  16 (4-0) Florida St            39.22  95%
10/04 1A 109 (1-4) Vanderbilt            1A  11 (3-1) Georgia               40.11  96%
10/04 1A  31 (3-1) Ohio State            1A  12 (4-1) Maryland              11.87  69%
10/04 1A   3 (5-0) Texas A&M             1A  10 (4-0) Mississippi St        -7.09  62%
10/04 1A  32 (3-1) Stanford              1A   6 (4-0) Notre Dame            18.69  79%
10/04 1A   5 (4-0) Baylor                1A  40 (2-2) Texas                -19.30  80%
10/04 1A  36 (3-1) Utah                  1A  14 (4-0) UCLA                  12.12  70%
10/04 1A  91 (2-2) Kansas                1A  15 (2-2) West Virginia         31.60  91%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

09/27 Weekly 4A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  WDM Dowling           4A-2 ( 4- 1) 215.84  1W 187.99 (  2)  38.00 (  5)  10.00 (  2)
    2  CR Washington         4A-6 ( 5- 0) 210.51  5W 171.74 (  9)  39.40 (  3)  11.40 (  4)
    3  WDM Valley            4A-3 ( 4- 1) 203.92  4W 187.01 (  3)  30.80 ( 14)  16.40 ( 13)
    4  Waukee                4A-4 ( 4- 1) 203.22  2W 189.05 (  1)  34.40 (  9)  20.20 ( 20)
    5  Bettendorf            4A-8 ( 5- 0) 201.52  5W 154.15 ( 33)  45.00 (  1)  11.40 (  3)
    6  Johnston              4A-2 ( 4- 1) 189.88  1W 168.88 ( 16)  27.80 ( 21)  15.80 ( 12)
    7  Ankeny Centennial     4A-3 ( 4- 1) 185.06  1W 164.98 ( 24)  35.80 (  7)  15.20 ( 10)
    8  Ankeny                4A-1 ( 3- 2) 184.85  2W 165.77 ( 23)  30.80 ( 15)  13.20 (  7)
    9  Ames                  4A-1 ( 3- 2) 182.89  1L 168.82 ( 17)  27.40 ( 22)  13.80 (  8)
   10  Eldridge North Scott  4A-8 ( 4- 1) 181.21  1W 171.51 ( 10)  21.60 ( 30)  12.60 (  6)
   11  Southeast Polk        4A-1 ( 2- 3) 181.20  2W 185.67 (  4)  28.40 ( 20)  27.80 ( 30)
   12  Marion Linn-Mar       4A-5 ( 4- 1) 180.18  1W 162.46 ( 28)  30.60 ( 16)  14.60 (  9)
   13  Muscatine             4A-6 ( 3- 2) 175.35  1L 171.20 ( 11)  30.20 ( 17)  25.60 ( 26)
   14  Pleasant Valley       4A-7 ( 2- 3) 174.00  2W 170.16 ( 13)  26.80 ( 24)  19.80 ( 18)
   15  Cedar Falls           4A-5 ( 4- 1) 173.52  3W 157.81 ( 32)  22.80 ( 28)   9.40 (  1)
   16  Dubuque Hempstead     4A-7 ( 4- 1) 172.95  4W 150.48 ( 39)  36.60 (  6)  11.80 (  5)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/26

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A   9 Ames                  14 4A   8 Ankeny                20   3.18   3.45   6
4A   7 Ankeny Centennial     63 4A  45 Sioux City West        0 -62.86 -64.38 -63
4A  15 Cedar Falls           42 4A  34 Waterloo West         10 -16.04 -19.83 -32
4A  40 Clinton                6 4A   5 Bettendorf            52  67.07  71.89  46
4A  17 CB Lewis Central      10 4A   1 WDM Dowling           51  44.61  44.63  41
4A  43 Davenport North        6 4A  14 Pleasant Valley       63  53.13  53.32  57
4A  44 Davenport West         0 4A  16 Dubuque Hempstead     63  48.16  52.53  63
4A  35 Des Moines East        0 4A  11 Southeast Polk        52  43.09  34.93  52
4A  46 Des Moines North       6 4A   6 Johnston              45  80.01  82.86  39
4A  19 Dubuque Senior        20 4A  10 Eldridge North Scott  28  14.15  10.57   8
4A  13 Muscatine             21 4A   2 CR Washington         42  42.04  36.65  21
4A  41 Waterloo East          0 4A  12 Marion Linn-Mar       45  61.74  53.87  45
4A   4 Waukee                45 4A  33 Marshalltown           2 -55.80 -48.78 -43
4A   3 WDM Valley            55 4A  25 Des Moines Hoover     13 -45.25 -38.24 -42

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/02 4A 12 (4-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A 24 (0-5) CR Kennedy           -11.48  67%
10/02 4A 22 (3-2) CR Jefferson         4A 15 (4-1) Cedar Falls            6.63  60%
10/02 4A 16 (4-1) Dubuque Hempstead    4A 43 (1-4) Davenport North      -49.28  97%
10/02 4A  9 (3-2) Ames                 4A 32 (3-2) Sioux City North     -27.82  85%
10/03 4A 25 (3-2) Des Moines Hoover    4A  7 (4-1) Ankeny Centennial     22.37  80%
10/03 4A  3 (4-1) WDM Valley           4A 31 (3-2) CB Lincoln           -47.24  96%
10/03 4A 27 (4-1) Ottumwa              4A  2 (5-0) CR Washington         48.77  97%
10/03 4A 10 (4-1) Eldridge North Scott 4A 40 (1-4) Clinton              -48.59  97%
10/03 4A 14 (2-3) Pleasant Valley      4A 29 (2-3) Davenport Central    -13.78  70%
10/03 4A  8 (3-2) Ankeny               4A 35 (2-3) Des Moines East      -35.60  91%
10/03 4A  6 (4-1) Johnston             4A 30 (2-3) Des Moines Roosevelt -33.11  89%
10/03 4A  5 (5-0) Bettendorf           4A 21 (3-2) Iowa City West       -30.93  88%
10/03 4A 37 (3-2) Burlington           4A 13 (3-2) Muscatine             31.99  89%
10/03 4A 42 (1-4) CB Jefferson         4A 11 (2-3) Southeast Polk        57.56  98%
10/03 4A 18 (5-0) Sioux City East      4A  1 (4-1) WDM Dowling           45.07  95%
10/03 4A 23 (2-3) Urbandale            4A  4 (4-1) Waukee                36.58  92%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

09/27 Weekly 3A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  CR Xavier             3A-4 ( 4- 1) 193.50  4W 167.82 (  4)  33.60 (  9)   7.80 (  2)
    2  Pella                 3A-7 ( 5- 0) 193.34  5W 154.03 ( 30)  41.40 (  1)   6.80 (  1)
    3  West Delaware         3A-3 ( 5- 0) 189.98  5W 151.28 ( 39)  41.00 (  2)   7.80 (  3)
    4  Carroll               3A-2 ( 5- 0) 184.68  5W 154.24 ( 29)  39.80 (  4)  11.80 (  5)
    5  Gilbert               3A-6 ( 4- 1) 180.83  1W 157.92 ( 23)  40.40 (  3)  17.80 ( 15)
    6  Carlisle              3A-7 ( 4- 1) 180.54  4W 159.10 ( 20)  36.00 (  7)  18.60 ( 18)
    7  Waverly-Shell Rock    3A-3 ( 4- 1) 177.32  2W 159.18 ( 19)  30.60 ( 14)  13.20 (  7)
    8  Newton                3A-6 ( 4- 1) 174.22  1L 153.89 ( 32)  36.20 (  6)  17.80 ( 17)
    9  Sioux City Heelan     3A-1 ( 4- 1) 171.32  4W 157.03 ( 25)  32.60 ( 11)  20.20 ( 22)
   10  Humboldt              3A-2 ( 4- 1) 169.87  1W 152.41 ( 35)  31.40 ( 13)  13.00 (  6)
   11  Huxley Ballard        3A-6 ( 4- 1) 167.23  1L 158.45 ( 21)  32.80 ( 10)  22.20 ( 28)
   12  Dallas Center-Grimes  3A-8 ( 4- 1) 167.10  3W 163.13 (  9)  25.40 ( 21)  20.40 ( 23)
   13  Sergeant Bluff-Luton  3A-1 ( 3- 2) 166.34  1L 151.61 ( 38)  39.20 (  5)  19.60 ( 20)
   14  Western Dubuque       3A-4 ( 3- 2) 165.98  1W 162.00 ( 10)  17.80 ( 39)  14.80 ( 12)
   15  Solon                 3A-4 ( 4- 1) 165.45  2W 164.18 (  7)  22.40 ( 27)  18.80 ( 19)
   16  Norwalk               3A-7 ( 2- 3) 164.71  1W 160.20 ( 15)  24.40 ( 24)  19.80 ( 21)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/26

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A  42 Algona                 7 3A  10 Humboldt              41  32.03  30.59  34
3A   4 Carroll               43 3A  33 Perry                 10 -39.38 -34.24 -33
3A  53 Cresco Crestwood       0 3A   3 West Delaware         53  51.64  59.80  53
3A  12 Dallas Center-Grimes  45 3A  37 Boone                 27 -23.56 -20.42 -18
3A  25 Dubuque Wahlert       21 3A  14 Western Dubuque       27  14.98  10.75   6
3A  11 Huxley Ballard        14 3A   6 Carlisle              49 -13.01  14.80  35
3A  48 Knoxville              0 3A   2 Pella                 28  62.08  56.58  28
3A  45 Maquoketa              6 3A   1 CR Xavier             49  61.36  56.21  43
3A   8 Newton                29 3A   5 Gilbert               42  22.19   8.11  13
3A  55 Saydel                 6 3A  16 Norwalk               49  48.63  50.12  43
3A  13 Sergeant Bluff-Luton  36 3A   9 Sioux City Heelan     42   7.85   6.48   6
3A  18 Washington            17 3A  15 Solon                 28   6.34   4.29  11
3A   7 Waverly-Shell Rock    24 3A  22 Decorah                3  -9.93 -14.22 -21

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/03 3A 12 (4-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A 43 (2-3) Atlantic             -26.37  84%
10/03 3A  5 (4-1) Gilbert              3A 23 (3-2) Bondurant-Farrar     -19.64  77%
10/03 3A  9 (4-1) Sioux City Heelan    3A 28 (2-3) Boyden-Hull-R Valley -16.64  73%
10/03 3A 14 (3-2) Western Dubuque      3A  1 (4-1) CR Xavier             29.01  86%
10/03 3A  2 (5-0) Pella                3A  6 (4-1) Carlisle             -11.31  66%
10/03 3A 37 (0-5) Boone                3A  4 (5-0) Carroll               40.98  94%
10/03 3A 15 (4-1) Solon                3A 27 (3-2) Central Clinton       -8.57  63%
10/03 3A 16 (2-3) Norwalk              3A 50 (4-1) Chariton             -26.02  84%
10/03 3A  3 (5-0) West Delaware        3A 19 (4-1) Charles City         -26.20  84%
10/03 3A 10 (4-1) Humboldt             3A 30 (2-3) Greene County        -16.87  74%
10/03 3A  8 (4-1) Newton               3A 11 (4-1) Huxley Ballard        -5.49  58%
10/03 3A 13 (3-2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A 56 (1-4) Storm Lake           -56.30  98%
10/03 2A  1 (5-0) Clear Lake           3A  7 (4-1) Waverly-Shell Rock   -15.69  72%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

09/27 Weekly 2A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Clear Lake            2A-2 ( 5- 0) 194.49  5W 152.06 ( 12)  44.00 (  4)  11.80 (  8)
    2  Spirit Lake           2A-1 ( 5- 0) 183.48  5W 138.04 ( 35)  47.60 (  1)  12.80 (  9)
    3  North Fayette Valley  2A-3 ( 4- 1) 179.95  2W 157.20 (  7)  32.20 ( 15)  11.20 (  7)
    4  Hampton-Dumont        2A-2 ( 5- 0) 178.46  5W 138.96 ( 34)  45.40 (  3)   6.80 (  2)
    5  New Hampton           2A-3 ( 4- 1) 175.19  1W 153.17 (  9)  31.60 ( 17)   9.60 (  4)
    6  Center Point-Urbana   2A-3 ( 4- 1) 172.77  1L 159.99 (  5)  20.60 ( 34)  14.20 ( 12)
    7  Albia                 2A-7 ( 5- 0) 172.41  5W 136.76 ( 39)  46.40 (  2)  11.20 (  6)
    8  Clarion-Goldfield-Do  2A-2 ( 4- 1) 170.38  1L 143.34 ( 27)  41.00 (  5)  16.00 ( 15)
    9  Tama South Tama       2A-6 ( 4- 1) 167.46  1W 148.93 ( 18)  30.60 ( 19)  15.20 ( 14)
   10  Mediapolis            2A-5 ( 4- 1) 167.32  2W 134.59 ( 43)  36.80 (  7)  13.40 ( 10)
   11  LaPorte City Union    2A-6 ( 4- 1) 165.97  3W 147.02 ( 21)  33.00 ( 13)  16.60 ( 17)
   12  Central Lyon CL-G-LR  2A-1 ( 3- 2) 165.36  2W 162.78 (  4)  28.20 ( 21)  19.00 ( 24)
   13  Dyersville Beckman    2A-3 ( 4- 1) 164.41  3W 144.19 ( 25)  29.80 ( 20)   6.80 (  1)
   14  Williamsburg          2A-5 ( 5- 0) 162.93  5W 140.08 ( 32)  33.60 ( 12)  10.80 (  5)
   15  Cascade               2A-4 ( 4- 1) 161.54  3W 145.11 ( 22)  36.20 (  9)  18.20 ( 21)
   16  Clarinda              2A-8 ( 4- 1) 159.80  2W 140.76 ( 30)  36.40 (  8)  13.60 ( 11)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/26

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A  28 Boyden-Hull-R Valley  21 2A  12 Central Lyon CL-G-LR  28  17.05  13.66   7
2A  15 Cascade               42 2A  45 Goose Lake Northeast   0 -35.76 -37.21 -42
2A  49 Centerville            7 2A   7 Albia                 56  56.08  59.41  49
2A  16 Clarinda              54 2A  51 Shenandoah            12 -52.72 -47.16 -42
2A   1 Clear Lake            39 2A   8 Clarion-Goldfield-Do  12 -20.39 -22.62 -27
2A  13 Dyersville Beckman    47 1A  39 Guttenberg CR          0 -40.83 -40.05 -47
2A  27 Eldora South Hardin    6 2A   9 Tama South Tama       45  12.77  26.50  39
2A   4 Hampton-Dumont        50 2A  32 Osage                  0 -30.66 -37.38 -50
2A  53 East Marshall          0 2A  11 LaPorte City Union    49  58.01  59.34  49
2A  10 Mediapolis            40 2A  44 West Liberty          13 -41.40 -42.71 -27
2A   5 New Hampton           20 2A   6 Center Point-Urbana    7   3.38  -0.92 -13
2A   2 Spirit Lake           47 2A  56 Cherokee Washington    0 -85.88 -76.79 -47
2A  41 WB-Notre Dame         14 2A  14 Williamsburg          42  37.12  39.10  28
2A   3 North Fayette Valley  41 2A  18 Waukon                14 -16.72 -21.40 -27

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/03 2A  1 (5-0) Clear Lake           3A  7 (4-1) Waverly-Shell Rock   -15.69  72%
10/03 2A 11 (4-1) LaPorte City Union   2A 25 (4-1) Aplington AP         -21.75  79%
10/03 2A 54 (0-5) Camanche             2A 15 (4-1) Cascade               55.58  98%
10/03 2A 43 (1-4) Milford Okoboji      2A 12 (3-2) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  43.28  95%
10/03 2A 52 (1-4) West Central Valley  2A 16 (4-1) Clarinda              50.64  97%
10/03 2A  7 (5-0) Albia                2A 48 (1-4) Davis County         -55.29  98%
10/03 2A  8 (4-1) Clarion-Goldfield-Do 2A 33 (2-3) Forest City          -29.51  87%
10/03 2A 19 (2-3) Estherville LC       2A  4 (5-0) Hampton-Dumont        24.77  82%
10/03 1A 32 (3-2) Wilton               2A 10 (4-1) Mediapolis            38.37  93%
10/03 2A  6 (4-1) Center Point-Urbana  2A 29 (3-2) Mount Vernon         -30.13  87%
10/03 2A 31 (1-4) Oelwein              2A  5 (4-1) New Hampton           36.12  91%
10/03 2A 13 (4-1) Dyersville Beckman   2A  3 (4-1) North Fayette Valley  17.03  74%
10/03 2A  9 (4-1) Tama South Tama      2A 42 (0-5) Roland-Story         -40.77  94%
10/03 2A 17 (5-0) Sioux Center         2A  2 (5-0) Spirit Lake           25.76  83%
10/03 2A 26 (3-2) Wellman Mid-Prairie  2A 14 (5-0) Williamsburg          21.70  79%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

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