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4A Multi-year improvement
From year to year, some teams improve and some teams do not. Let’s assume that 1/2 of the teams rise in the rankings from one year to the next (24 teams). So after two years 12 teams should have improved over this span (1/2)*(1/2)*48. It turns out that only 5 teams have shown consecutive improvement…
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2010 Football Schedules
Schedules are now available for the fall football season. 355 teams will be competing in 6 classes. 4A top 47 schools 3A next 64 schools 2A next 64 schools 1A next 64 schools A next 51 schools 8 man 65 schools Previous research says that last year’s analysis can predict this fall’s games with about…
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Predicting a decade in the future
game, pred, corr/totl, ratio, notes 2009, 2008, 1292/1800, 0.718, 2 teams set to 0.00 2009, 2007, 1157/1800, 0.643, 14 teams set to 0.00 2009, 2006, 1125/1800, 0.625, 17 teams set to 0.00 2009, 2005, 1094/1800, 0.608, 20 teams set to 0.00 2009, 2004, 1075/1800, 0.597, 23 teams set to 0.00 2009, 2003, 1023/1800, 0.568, 32…
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Tradition, one year tradition
So with schedules to be released in 2 days, the inevitable question is “who has the toughest schedule?” To answer this question, a estimate of all team strengths is required. However, no games are been played, so what should be done? Possibilities: 1. Use last year’s team strengths 2. Use a different year’s team strengths…
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2000: Manning vs H-R, Harlan, Dowling
After rebuilding 1893-2000 in the yearly reports, I am now rebuilding 2000-2009 with weekly reports. The one exception is 1966 which has a very large percentage of games in the database and some very good team records (Waterloo East, Bettendorf were undefeated, untied; CR Jefferson and Davenport Central finish undefeated with a common tie game).…
