Category: analysis

  • 10/29 Daily NCAA Report

    NCAA Football 10/29 – Top 20 results Pre = pregame prediction Post = postgame prediction Act = actual game margin 1A Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 1A 94 Colorado 14 1A 10 Arizona St 48 31.67 32.44 34 1A 19 Georgia 24 1A 30 Florida 20 -4.16 -4.06 -4…

  • 2011 Championship Contenders

    2011 Championship Contenders Example: The winner of the 2009 (09) 4A championship was ranked #2 in week 5. 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 4A 1 2 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3A 3 11 3 3 2 1 8 14 3 1 4 2A 1…

  • Rivalry games

    Effects of Rivalry game Criticism: “You can’t predict a rivalry game, anything can happen.” Ok, fair enough. But what does that mean mathematically? Does it mean that the standard deviation for a rivalry game is higher than a non-rivalry game? Thus, the favorite has a lower probability of winning independent of the expected game margin.…

  • 2011 BBB districts

    Iowa High School Boys Basketball All districts have now been announces by iahsaa.org. Here is a first look at the 2011 District Rankings. Parity: 1.00 – all games are coin flips 0.00 – all games are blowouts District Rankings R District ( W – L ) Score Parity Level 1 4A-02 ( 16- 15) 94.15…

  • SICL non-conference game count

    > Each SICL team plays at most 1 team from out of their own conference during the season. Is that enough of a comparison to make a valid rating? I really like your question. Here are the 4 SICL non-conference games. Date Cl Rank Visitor Score Cl Rank Home Score Post Act 11/29/2010 1A 37…