Category: analysis

According to my analysis, there has never been a year where, on average, a lower class has been better than a higher class. Average team strengths, by classes and years year 4A 3A 2A 1A 2003 81.31 70.76 63.16 53.61 2004 72.65 62.28 55.21 43.10 2005 76.02 65.12 55.63 43.11 2006 93.65 83.99 76.24 63.41…

After reading the North Tama-Madrid score, I was reminded of the 2003 finals and the 2009 semi-finals. pregame: + –> Madrid favored – –> Madrid overdogs actual: + –> Madrid wins – –> Madrid loses opponent pregame actual 2003 semi-finals Martensdale-St Marys +15.40 +16 2003 finals Treynor +6.39 -27 2004 semi-finals West Bend-Mallard -13.32 -33…

Here is a look at the predictability of the top 10 teams in Class 4A. For this discussion, predictability is this: if a team is predicted to win by 20, they win by 20, and if a team is predicted to lose by 20, they lose by 20. West Des Moines Dowling may be the…

8-man playoff analysis, by Lance Ridpath District 1 Remsen-Union (6-0), Newell-Fonda (5-1), Kingsley-Pierson (4-2) and Remsen St. Mary’s (4-2) are all in. District 2 Armstrong-Ringstead(6-0), Graettinger-Terril (5-1), West Bend-Mallard (5-1) and North Sentral (3-3) are all in. District 3 Northeast Hamilton (6-0), Clarksville (5-1) and Tripoli (5-1) are all in. Ventura (3-3) can qualify if…

Class A playoff analysis, by Lance Ridpath District 1 LeMars Gehlen (4-0) is in. Clay Central-Everly (2-2) can qualify if any of the following happen: –They beat West Sioux –Woodbury Central wins, AND Akron-Westfield loses –They lose by five points or less, AND Woobury Central loses, AND Akron-Westfield loses –Note: More scoring combinations like the…