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02/25 BBB State Tournament Probabilities: 3A-1A
Championship probabilities Notes: 1. The following are unbiased estimates. 2. To get a better estimate, we could replay the week-long state tournament for about 30 times in a row (I’m pretty clear that this will not happen ( 99.9999%)). 3A Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 3 Vinton-Shellsburg 0.104 8 8 Harlan 0.064 4 15 Grinnell…
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02/24 BBB State Tournament Probabilities: 2A-1A
Championship probabilities Notes: 1. The following are unbiased estimates. 2. To get a better estimate, we could replay the week-long state tournament for about 30 times in a row (I’m pretty clear that this will not happen ( 99.9999%)). 2A Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 3 Sheffield West Fork 0.255 8 33 Dike-New Hartford 0.002…
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02/24 GBB State Tournament Probabilities
Championship probabilities 5A Rnk Team Prob 8 CR Washington 0.045 6 Ankeny 0.092 3 Southeast Polk 0.186 4 Muscatine 0.147 7 WDM Dowling 0.049 5 Des Moines East 0.138 10 Iowa City West 0.024 1 Mason City 0.318 4A Rnk Team Prob 4 Harlan 0.082 5 Van Horne Benton 0.057 11 Winterset 0.005 2 Waverly-Shell…
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02/09 IA BBB 4A Substate Probabilities
4A Substate Championship probabilities Substate 1 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 19 Sioux City East 0.419 8 Bye 0.000 4 45 CB Lewis Central 0.000 5 43 CB Lincoln 0.001 2 14 Sioux City North 0.580 7 Bye 0.000 3 40 Sioux City West 0.001 6 48 CB Jefferson 0.000 Substate 2 Sd Rnk Team…
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02/09 IA BBB 3A Substate Probabilities
3A Substate Championship probabilities Substate 1 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 4 Sioux City Heelan 0.313 4 38 Denison-Schleswig 0.001 2 11 LeMars 0.134 3 14 Sergeant Bluff-Luton 0.051 1 3 MOC-Floyd Valley 0.436 4 56 Estherville LC 0.000 2 22 Spencer 0.064 3 41 Storm Lake 0.002 Substate 2 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1…