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Class 2A Preview
2A Preview Here are some thoughts on the upcoming season, based on the final 2011 computer rankings and the 2012 district memberships. District rankings: (All): average strength of all teams in the district Parity: 0 = perfect randomness: all district games are coin-flips 1 = perfect prediction: all district games will be blowouts (top4): average…
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Class 1A Preview
1A Preview Here are some thoughts on the upcoming season, based on the final 2011 computer rankings and the 2012 district memberships. District rankings: (All): average strength of all teams in the district Parity: 0 = perfect randomness: all district games are coin-flips 1 = perfect prediction: all district games will be blowouts (top4): average…
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03/07 BBB 4A-1A Championship Probabilities
Championship probabilities 4A Rnk Team Prob 1 Ankeny 0.513 3 Sioux City East 0.079 2 Iowa City West 0.330 5 Marion Linn-Mar 0.077 3A Rnk Team Prob 5 Sioux City Heelan 0.161 4 Epworth W Dubuque 0.253 12 Grinnell 0.030 3 Mount Pleasant 0.557 2A Rnk Team Prob 6 Monona MFL MarMac 0.141 1 Mount…
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02/28 BBB 4A-1A Championship Probabilities
Championship probabilities 4A Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 1 Ankeny 0.506 8 15 CR Jefferson 0.001 4 5 Sioux City East 0.048 5 6 WDM Valley 0.043 2 2 Iowa City West 0.305 7 8 Waukee 0.010 3 4 Marion Linn-Mar 0.085 6 11 Dubuque Senior 0.004 3A Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 2 MOC-Floyd…
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02/27 BBB 3A-1A Championship Probabilities
Championship probabilities Notes: 1. Computer model thinks #3 Mount Pleasant was the big winner of the 3A overnight seeding announcement. 3A Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 2 MOC-Floyd Valley 0.237 8 5 Sioux City Heelan 0.039 4 4 Epworth W Dubuque 0.058 5 1 Davenport Assumption 0.273 2 8 Waverly-Shell Rock 0.047 7 15 Grinnell…