Rivalry games

 Effects of Rivalry game Criticism: “You can’t predict a rivalry game, anything can happen.” Ok, fair enough. But what does that mean mathematically? Does it mean that the standard deviation for a rivalry game is higher than a non-rivalry game? Thus, the favorite has a lower probability of winning independent of the expected game margin. […] Continue reading →

08/26 Daily FB Report

 Iowa High School Boys Football 8/26 – Top 20 results Pre = pregame prediction Post = postgame prediction Act = actual game margin 4A Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 4A 25 Ames 7 4A 7 Ankeny 45 5.54 23.10 38 4A 9 Bettendorf 55 4A 43 Davenport West 6 […] Continue reading →

08/19 Daily FB Report

 Iowa High School Boys Football 8/19/2011 – Top 20 results Pre = pregame prediction Post = postgame prediction Act = actual game margin 4A Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 4A 43 Des Moines North 7 4A 15 Ames 54 49.11 47.90 47 4A 19 Waukee 20 4A 12 Ankeny […] Continue reading →