10/17 Weekly 8 FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Don Bosco              8-5 ( 8- 0) 124.21  8W  68.79 ( 41)  55.88 (  7)  10.88 (  2)
    2  Elkader Central        8-4 ( 8- 0) 122.14  8W  62.26 ( 52)  74.25 (  1)  17.50 (  9)
    3  Janesville             8-3 ( 8- 0) 119.47  8W  59.02 ( 56)  57.12 (  6)  10.50 (  1)
    4  Glidden-Ralston        8-7 ( 8- 0) 117.47  8W  69.84 ( 39)  58.38 (  3)  15.62 (  7)
    5  Ruthven GTRA           8-2 ( 7- 1) 116.40  5W  80.15 ( 16)  48.88 ( 11)  18.50 ( 10)
    6  Marcus MMC             8-2 ( 7- 1) 116.40  6W  79.19 ( 20)  46.12 ( 14)  15.12 (  6)
    7  Coon Rapids-Bayard     8-7 ( 7- 1) 116.08  1W  72.32 ( 37)  51.50 (  9)  15.00 (  5)
    8  West Bend-Mallard      8-2 ( 7- 1) 115.19  4W  78.59 ( 22)  41.88 ( 22)  11.38 (  3)
    9  Tabor Fremont-Mills    8-8 ( 8- 0) 107.90  8W  78.13 ( 23)  48.75 ( 12)  14.88 (  4)
   10  Victor HLV             8-5 ( 7- 1) 107.71  2W  61.26 ( 53)  62.62 (  2)  15.75 (  8)
   11  Newell-Fonda           8-1 ( 5- 3) 105.36  5W  89.00 (  4)  38.62 ( 29)  19.25 ( 14)
   12  Dunlap Boyer Valley    8-1 ( 6- 2) 101.87  6W  87.70 (  5)  29.12 ( 42)  20.12 ( 15)
   13  Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    8-1 ( 6- 2) 101.20  2L  77.58 ( 25)  54.38 (  8)  24.50 ( 18)
   14  Turkey Valley          8-4 ( 7- 1) 101.02  2W  63.03 ( 51)  49.50 ( 10)  19.12 ( 13)
   15  Northwood-Kensett      8-3 ( 5- 3)  98.17  1W  80.73 ( 14)  37.38 ( 32)  21.12 ( 17)
   16  Lamoni                 8-6 ( 8- 0)  97.27  8W  44.18 ( 63)  57.25 (  5)  18.75 ( 12)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/17

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 8  34 Anita CAM              0  8   9 Tabor Fremont-Mills   59  39.86  38.12  59
 8   7 Coon Rapids-Bayard    56  8  56 Ankeny Christian       8 -78.69 -77.32 -48
 8  45 Dunkerton              0  8   1 Don Bosco              1  66.20  68.52   1
 8  13 Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb   33  8  12 Dunlap Boyer Valley   40   0.61   2.16   7
 8  19 Harris-Lake Park      19  8   5 Ruthven GTRA          58  25.56  31.16  39
 8  14 Turkey Valley         68  8  62 Cedar Valley Christi   7 -82.29 -83.16 -61
 8   3 Janesville            50  8  26 Clarksville           12 -28.35 -38.00 -38
 8  16 Lamoni                52  8  63 Seymour                0 -78.17 -83.05 -52
 8  37 Lansing Kee           26  8   2 Elkader Central       74  53.15  53.60  48
 8   6 Marcus MMC            59  8  35 Remsen St Mary        24 -43.74 -44.26 -35
 8  52 Murray                 0  8   4 Glidden-Ralston       74  74.62  74.63  74
 8  40 Remsen-Union           6  8   8 West Bend-Mallard     62  50.76  49.95  56
 8  31 Tripoli               36  8  15 Northwood-Kensett     42  29.63  25.85   6
 8  10 Victor HLV            82  8  44 Tama Meskwaki         24 -47.05 -48.24 -58
 8  47 Woodbine              16  8  11 Newell-Fonda          67  53.64  50.93  51

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/24  8 14 (7-1) Turkey Valley         8 55 (1-7) Central City         -58.68 100%
10/24  8 10 (7-1) Victor HLV            8 29 (5-3) Colo NESCO           -29.67  99%
10/24  8 24 (5-3) Afton East Union      8  7 (7-1) Coon Rapids-Bayard    34.31 100%
10/24  8  9 (8-0) Tabor Fremont-Mills   8 61 (0-8) Essex                -84.83 100%
10/24  8 28 (4-4) Kingsley-Pierson      8 13 (6-2) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb   24.37  98%
10/24  8 32 (5-3) North Iowa            8  3 (8-0) Janesville            47.66 100%
10/24  8 30 (6-2) Corydon Wayne         8 16 (8-0) Lamoni                24.86  98%
10/24  8  8 (7-1) West Bend-Mallard     8  6 (7-1) Marcus MMC             2.70  59%
10/24  8  2 (8-0) Elkader Central       8 43 (4-4) Maynard West Central -62.30 100%
10/24  8 51 (0-8) West Harrison         8 11 (5-3) Newell-Fonda          56.75 100%
10/24  8  4 (8-0) Glidden-Ralston       8 50 (2-6) Northeast Hamilton   -63.93 100%
10/24  8 48 (2-6) Rockford              8 15 (5-3) Northwood-Kensett     45.19 100%
10/24  8  5 (7-1) Ruthven GTRA          8 35 (4-4) Remsen St Mary       -44.26 100%
10/24  8  1 (8-0) Don Bosco             8 59 (1-7) Thornburg Tri-County -96.69 100%
10/24  8 12 (6-2) Dunlap Boyer Valley   8 47 (1-7) Woodbine             -44.46 100%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

10/18 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Mississippi           Sout ( 7- 0) 182.27  7W 151.27 ( 11)  35.43 ( 30)  10.57 (  1)
    2  Mississippi St        Sout ( 6- 0) 181.74  6W 151.96 ( 10)  41.83 (  9)  20.00 ( 23)
    3  Alabama               Sout ( 6- 1) 181.11  2W 155.07 (  5)  36.86 ( 26)  13.14 (  3)
    4  Auburn                Sout ( 5- 1) 179.97  1L 160.81 (  1)  38.83 ( 16)  18.33 ( 13)
    5  TCU                    Big ( 5- 1) 174.34  1W 142.18 ( 67)  45.17 (  5)  20.67 ( 27)
    6  Georgia               Sout ( 6- 1) 174.17  5W 148.27 ( 23)  43.43 (  7)  20.00 ( 22)
    7  Oklahoma               Big ( 5- 2) 170.91  1L 155.83 (  3)  39.00 ( 15)  22.86 ( 44)
    8  Marshall              Conf ( 7- 0) 169.56  7W 128.78 (121)  47.43 (  2)  16.57 (  7)
    9  Oregon                Paci ( 6- 1) 167.35  2W 146.60 ( 35)  43.57 (  6)  23.71 ( 48)
   10  Kansas St              Big ( 5- 1) 167.33  3W 149.47 ( 17)  39.17 ( 14)  22.50 ( 43)
   11  Nebraska               Big ( 6- 1) 166.95  1W 142.44 ( 66)  41.00 ( 12)  19.86 ( 18)
   12  Baylor                 Big ( 6- 1) 165.52  1L 141.82 ( 72)  49.00 (  1)  23.00 ( 45)
   13  Michigan St            Big ( 6- 1) 165.26  5W 142.98 ( 61)  47.00 (  3)  21.57 ( 36)
   14  LSU                   Sout ( 6- 2) 165.07  2W 149.27 ( 19)  35.62 ( 28)  17.00 (  8)
   15  Arkansas              Sout ( 3- 4) 164.46  3L 150.71 ( 13)  38.29 ( 20)  26.86 ( 69)
   16  Florida St            Atla ( 7- 0) 163.94  7W 143.87 ( 54)  37.86 ( 21)  21.57 ( 35)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/18

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  12 Baylor                27 1A  19 West Virginia         41 -16.12  -1.14  14
1A   6 Georgia               45 1A  15 Arkansas              32 -12.20  -9.71 -13
1A  10 Kansas St             31 1A   7 Oklahoma              30  10.96   5.49  -1
1A  55 Kentucky               3 1A  14 LSU                   41   7.63  18.99  38
1A   8 Marshall              45 1A  84 Florida Int'l         13 -24.40 -28.77 -32
1A  13 Michigan St           56 1A  75 Indiana               17  -9.72 -21.02 -39
1A  11 Nebraska              38 1A  54 Northwestern          17 -12.31 -17.05 -21
1A  21 Notre Dame            27 1A  16 Florida St            31   4.08   4.20   4
1A  42 Oklahoma St            9 1A   5 TCU                   42  21.77  23.75  33
1A  22 Tennessee              3 1A   1 Mississippi           34  12.00  22.63  31
1A  25 Texas A&M              0 1A   3 Alabama               59   5.52  23.87  59
1A  48 Washington            20 1A   9 Oregon                45  13.88  19.23  25

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/24 1A   9 (6-1) Oregon                1A  58 (4-3) California           -20.30  88%
10/25 1A  72 (4-3) Alabama-Birmingham    1A  15 (3-4) Arkansas              23.15  91%
10/25 1A  41 (4-3) South Carolina        1A   4 (5-1) Auburn                28.86  95%
10/25 1A  50 (3-4) Texas                 1A  10 (5-1) Kansas St             19.41  87%
10/25 1A   2 (6-0) Mississippi St        1A  55 (5-2) Kentucky             -31.85  97%
10/25 1A   1 (7-0) Mississippi           1A  14 (6-2) LSU                  -15.30  81%
10/25 1A  93 (3-4) Florida Atlantic      1A   8 (7-0) Marshall              34.42  98%
10/25 1A  68 (3-4) Michigan              1A  13 (6-1) Michigan St           21.99  90%
10/25 1A  57 (5-2) Rutgers               1A  11 (6-1) Nebraska              21.24  89%
10/25 1A  77 (3-4) Texas Tech            1A   5 (5-1) TCU                   34.84  98%
10/25 1A   3 (6-1) Alabama               1A  22 (3-4) Tennessee            -17.66  84%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

3A-7 Playoff Picture


0. Playoff criteria

http://www.iahsaa.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/2014_Football_PostSeason_Manual.pdf

pages 2-3

1. Predictions:

1.1 Ballard-Grinell:

Ballard by 8.45 over Grinnell, 0.75437 probability
Grinnell wins by 1-11 points: 0.19775 probabilty
Grinnell wins by 12+ points: 0.047878 probabilty

1.2 Gilbert:
Gilbert by 35.54 over Benton, 0.99810 probabilty
Gilbert has a 0.99357 probabilty of a 5-point win (or more)
Gilbert has a 0.96682 probabilty of a 13-point win (or more)

1.3 Newton:
Newton by 26.24 over Nevada, 0.98372 probability
Newton has a 0.85959 probabilty of a 13-point win (or more)

2. Scenarios:

Note: Scenarios below explore 98.1% of possible outcomes. Other wild scenarios do exist.

Scenario 1: 74.068%
Scenario 2: 19.328%
Scenario 3: 4.701%
-------------------
Total: 98.097%

2.1 Scenario 1:

probability: 0.74068

------------
Ballard win, Grinnell loss: 0.75437
Gilbert win: 0.99810
Newton win: 0.98372
------------

1 Ballard (5-1) 32 to 44
2 Bondurant-Farrar (4-2) 42
3 Gilbert (4-2) 27 to 39
4 Newton (4-2) -02 to 10
5 Grinnell (3-3) -16 to -04

1 Ballard: least losses (I,1)
2 B-F: beat Gilbert and Newton (II,a)
3 Gilbert: beat Newton (II, a)
4 Newton: Remaining 4-2 team (II)

2.2 Scenario 2:

probability: 0.19328

------------
Grinnell beats Ballard by 1-11 points: 0.19775
Gilbert wins by 5+: 0.99357
Newton wins: 0.98372
------------

1 Bondurant-Farrar (4-2) 42
2 Gilbert (4-2) 31 to 39
3 Ballard (4-2) 20 to 30
4 Grinnell (4-2) 09 to 19
5 Newton (4-2) -2 to 10

1 B-F: points (II, b)
2 Gilbert: points (II, b)
3 Ballard: points (II, b)
4 Newton: head-to-head (V,1)

2.3 Scenario 3:

probability: 0.04701

------------
Grinnell beat Ballard by 12+ points: 0.047878 probability
Gilbert wins: 0.99810
Newton wins: 0.98372
------------

1 Bondurant-Farrar (4-2) 42
2 Gilbert (4-2) 27 to 39
3 Grinnell (4-2) 20 to 21
4 Ballard (4-2) 18 to 19
5 Newton (4-2) -2 to 10

1 B-F: points (II, b)
2 Gilbert: points (II, b)
3 Grinnell: points (II, b)
4 Newton: head-to-head (V,1)

10/17 Daily IA FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

10/17 - Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin

4A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  10 Ames                   1 4A  35 Des Moines East        0 -34.01 -31.60  -1
4A   7 Ankeny                45 4A  40 CB Jefferson           3 -56.09 -53.80 -42
4A   5 Bettendorf            31 4A  21 Dubuque Senior        14 -24.96 -23.28 -17
4A  44 Davenport North       14 4A  16 Iowa City West        42  59.06  56.56  28
4A  43 Davenport West        12 4A  14 Eldridge North Scott  54  58.57  57.64  42
4A  46 Des Moines North       2 4A  15 Sioux City East       63  65.56  65.01  61
4A  32 Des Moines Roosevelt  21 4A   1 WDM Dowling           70  64.87  66.07  49
4A  26 Dubuque Hempstead     10 4A  13 Pleasant Valley       42  11.58  18.93  32
4A   6 Johnston              28 4A  12 CB Lewis Central      31 -13.59  -6.29   3
4A  11 Marion Linn-Mar       63 4A  33 Waterloo West         28 -21.13 -24.26 -35
4A  29 Sioux City North      14 4A   8 Southeast Polk        56  29.45  28.47  42
4A   3 Waukee                47 4A  20 Fort Dodge            14 -35.32 -36.10 -33
4A   2 WDM Valley            28 4A   9 Ankeny Centennial      3 -15.05 -22.89 -25

3A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A  50 Algona                 0 3A   4 Carroll               42  41.49  46.01  42
3A  11 Bondurant-Farrar      46 3A  18 Newton                30   8.47  -4.21 -16
3A   2 Carlisle              48 3A  49 Chariton              14 -46.37 -47.62 -34
3A  10 Dallas Center-Grimes  35 3A  17 Creston COM           14   0.31  -4.27 -21
3A  27 Grinnell               0 3A   5 Gilbert               20  15.89  19.42  20
3A  12 Humboldt              28 2A  32 Forest City            7 -30.11 -28.60 -21
1A   1 Iowa City Regina      21 3A   6 CR Xavier              7   7.62  -7.67 -14
3A   7 West Delaware          0 3A  26 Independence          10 -26.68 -12.87  10
3A  46 Nevada                14 3A  14 Huxley Ballard        56  30.61  31.90  42
3A  16 Norwalk               24 3A  31 Adel ADM              28 -16.80  -8.75   4
3A  56 Saydel                 6 3A   1 Pella                 79  81.45  90.89  73
3A  13 Sergeant Bluff-Luton  51 3A  43 Denison-Schleswig     38 -30.77 -25.48 -13
3A   3 Sioux City Heelan     62 3A  55 Storm Lake             0 -62.74 -60.95 -62
3A   8 Solon                 55 3A  21 Western Dubuque       26  -0.71  -9.18 -29
3A  37 Vinton-Shellsburg     28 3A  15 Clear Creek-Amana     31  32.17  20.95   3
3A   9 Waverly-Shell Rock    45 3A  48 Cresco Crestwood       8 -37.77 -34.62 -37

2A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
2A   7 Albia                 48 2A  33 Prairie City-Monroe   14 -29.02 -30.28 -34
2A   9 Dyersville Beckman    20 2A  11 New Hampton            0  10.20   1.16 -20
2A  14 Estherville LC        53 2A  37 Osage                 39 -24.62 -23.86 -14
2A  25 Garner GHV            13 2A   8 Clarion-Goldfield-Do  29  29.46  26.38  16
2A   5 Hampton-Dumont         7 2A   1 Clear Lake            20  21.24  17.54  13
2A  12 LaPorte City Union    28 2A  20 Anamosa               31 -14.33  -9.16   3
2A  23 Mount Vernon          35 2A  15 Cascade               48  14.23  13.83  13
2A  43 Red Oak               16 2A  10 Clarinda              65  47.44  46.98  49
2A   6 Sioux Center           7 2A   4 Central Lyon CL-G-LR   6   1.06   2.77  -1
2A   2 Spirit Lake           48 3A  30 Spencer               35 -30.50 -23.86 -13
2A  16 Tama South Tama       42 2A  56 East Marshall         13 -57.41 -53.78 -29
2A  18 Waukon                20 2A  13 Center Point-Urbana   27  10.85   9.19   7
2A   3 North Fayette Valley  69 2A  49 Waterloo Columbus      0 -60.69 -62.78 -69

1A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  14 Bellevue              27 1A  33 Durant                19 -25.65 -21.18  -8
1A   9 Dike-New Hartford     28 1A  22 SumnerFredericksburg  14 -10.53 -13.37 -14
1A  56 Eagle Grove            6 1A   7 Saint Ansgar          63  69.03  77.15  57
1A   5 Fort Dodge St Edmond  35 2A  29 Southeast Valley       6 -35.14 -34.09 -29
1A  39 Guttenberg CR         14 1A   2 South Winneshiek      66  57.33  55.81  52
1A  23 Holstein Ridge View    0 1A   6 Inwood West Lyon      42  25.79  29.98  42
1A   1 Iowa City Regina      21 3A   6 CR Xavier              7   7.62  -7.67 -14
1A  11 South Cent Calhoun    14 1A  20 South Hamilton         8 -12.05 -10.75  -6
1A  12 Madrid                54 1A  47 Woodward Academy      18 -41.17 -40.42 -36
1A  13 Manson NW Webster     41 1A   8 Ogden                 44  11.87   9.62   3
1A  45 Missouri Valley       26 1A   4 IKM-Manning           58  61.86  62.51  32
1A  16 Panora Panorama       46 1A  50 Truro Interstate-35    0 -45.64 -42.06 -46
1A  34 Pocahontas Area        7 1A  15 Emmetsburg            47  10.54  23.11  40
1A  10 Stanwood North Cedar  41 1A  52 Wapello                6 -51.55 -52.85 -35
1A   3 West Branch           56 1A  40 Wilton                 0 -53.65 -51.53 -56

A

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 A   6 Ackley AGWSR          53  A  58 Traer North Tama       7 -55.71 -56.45 -46
 A  10 Audubon               54  A  31 Neola Tri-Center      19 -21.98 -25.16 -35
 A  13 Bedford               42  A  50 Martensdale-St Marys  20 -34.61 -31.78 -22
 A  19 Belmond-Klemme        16  A   9 Nashua-Plainfield     44  18.60  18.89  28
 A   3 Maquoketa Valley      56  A  45 Easton Valley          6 -43.38 -45.98 -50
 A  12 Denver                49  A  27 Wapsie Valley          0  -8.90 -19.86 -49
 A  37 Grundy Center          3  A   1 Gladbrook-Reinbeck    49  52.56  53.10  46
 A  15 Lisbon                46  A  36 Edgewood-Colesburg    14 -11.29 -17.96 -32
 A  48 Mapleton MVAO         12  A   2 Logan-Magnolia        62  63.85  61.66  50
 A  11 Montezuma             55  A  47 Marengo Iowa Valley   13 -37.17 -37.30 -42
 A   4 Packwood Pekin        48  A  53 Wayland WACO           2 -49.83 -51.40 -46
 A  22 South O'Brien          0  A   8 Woodbury Central      27  19.47  22.01  27
 A  35 Pleasantville          7  A   7 Mount Ayr             61  27.38  37.02  54
 A  14 Sloan Westwood        22  A  32 CB St Albert          23 -26.88 -17.14   1
 A  46 North Union           12  A   5 Algona Garrigan       35  48.36  47.53  23
 A  38 Winfield-Mt Union      0  A  16 Keosauqua Van Buren   32  15.95  21.12  32

8

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 8  34 Anita CAM              0  8   9 Tabor Fremont-Mills   59  39.86  38.12  59
 8   7 Coon Rapids-Bayard    56  8  56 Ankeny Christian       8 -78.69 -77.32 -48
 8  45 Dunkerton              0  8   1 Don Bosco              1  66.20  68.52   1
 8  13 Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb   33  8  12 Dunlap Boyer Valley   40   0.61   2.16   7
 8  19 Harris-Lake Park      19  8   5 Ruthven GTRA          58  25.56  31.16  39
 8  14 Turkey Valley         68  8  62 Cedar Valley Christi   7 -82.29 -83.17 -61
 8   3 Janesville            50  8  26 Clarksville           12 -28.35 -38.01 -38
 8  16 Lamoni                52  8  63 Seymour                0 -78.17 -83.06 -52
 8  37 Lansing Kee           26  8   2 Elkader Central       74  53.15  53.59  48
 8   6 Marcus MMC            59  8  35 Remsen St Mary        24 -43.74 -44.26 -35
 8  52 Murray                 0  8   4 Glidden-Ralston       74  74.62  74.62  74
 8  40 Remsen-Union           6  8   8 West Bend-Mallard     62  50.76  49.95  56
 8  31 Tripoli               36  8  15 Northwood-Kensett     42  29.63  25.85   6
 8  10 Victor HLV            82  8  44 Tama Meskwaki         24 -47.05 -48.24 -58
 8  47 Woodbine              16  8  11 Newell-Fonda          67  53.64  50.93  51

10/10 Weekly 4A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  WDM Dowling           4A-2 ( 6- 1) 213.17  3W 182.39 (  1)  41.71 (  2)   9.43 (  2)
    2  Waukee                4A-4 ( 6- 1) 200.81  4W 178.47 (  2)  37.43 (  7)  16.29 ( 12)
    3  WDM Valley            4A-3 ( 6- 1) 198.93  6W 171.65 (  6)  40.86 (  3)  12.57 (  5)
    4  CR Washington         4A-6 ( 7- 0) 195.39  7W 163.71 ( 14)  37.86 (  6)   9.29 (  1)
    5  Bettendorf            4A-8 ( 7- 0) 188.24  7W 155.98 ( 29)  42.14 (  1)  15.71 ( 11)
    6  Johnston              4A-2 ( 5- 2) 187.36  1L 171.11 (  7)  27.71 ( 22)  19.29 ( 15)
    7  Ankeny Centennial     4A-3 ( 6- 1) 182.44  3W 158.69 ( 23)  40.00 (  4)  13.86 (  6)
    8  Ankeny                4A-1 ( 5- 2) 182.25  4W 157.68 ( 25)  33.86 ( 11)  12.14 (  3)
    9  Southeast Polk        4A-1 ( 4- 3) 180.27  4W 173.15 (  4)  32.71 ( 12)  23.29 ( 21)
   10  Ames                  4A-1 ( 4- 3) 177.34  1L 166.14 ( 10)  30.86 ( 16)  19.29 ( 14)
   11  Marion Linn-Mar       4A-5 ( 6- 1) 173.84  3W 156.51 ( 27)  29.14 ( 19)  14.43 (  8)
   12  CB Lewis Central      4A-2 ( 6- 1) 172.33  2W 154.82 ( 32)  38.00 (  5)  23.57 ( 22)
   13  Eldridge North Scott  4A-8 ( 5- 2) 171.76  1L 161.64 ( 18)  26.86 ( 23)  15.00 (  9)
   14  Iowa City West        4A-7 ( 4- 3) 171.36  1W 172.07 (  5)  19.14 ( 32)  19.43 ( 16)
   15  Cedar Falls           4A-5 ( 5- 2) 171.14  1L 158.96 ( 22)  23.29 ( 28)  12.29 (  4)
   16  Sioux City East       4A-2 ( 5- 2) 170.21  2L 162.89 ( 16)  34.29 ( 10)  27.86 ( 32)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/10

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A   7 Ankeny Centennial     49 4A  37 Des Moines Lincoln     0 -42.81 -41.69 -49
4A  15 Cedar Falls           14 4A  11 Marion Linn-Mar       22   2.70   4.13   8
4A   4 CR Washington         28 4A  21 CR Prairie             6 -40.80 -31.72 -22
4A  12 CB Lewis Central      50 4A  16 Sioux City East       43   1.84  -0.69  -7
4A  13 Eldridge North Scott  26 4A   5 Bettendorf            42  17.30  17.91  16
4A  14 Iowa City West        31 4A  23 Dubuque Hempstead     14  -2.87  -9.96 -17
4A   9 Southeast Polk        31 4A  10 Ames                  24   1.01  -1.49  -7
4A  30 Sioux City North      12 4A   8 Ankeny                48  29.13  31.43  36
4A  41 Sioux City West        6 4A   3 WDM Valley            76  81.42  77.65  70
4A   2 Waukee                49 4A  26 Indianola             13 -42.14 -41.55 -36
4A   1 WDM Dowling           50 4A   6 Johnston              13 -24.57 -24.37 -37

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/16 4A 33 (2-5) Iowa City High       4A  4 (7-0) CR Washington         46.99 100%
10/17 4A  3 (6-1) WDM Valley           4A  7 (6-1) Ankeny Centennial    -15.05  90%
10/17 4A  8 (5-2) Ankeny               4A 40 (1-6) CB Jefferson         -56.09 100%
10/17 4A  6 (5-2) Johnston             4A 12 (6-1) CB Lewis Central     -13.59  87%
10/17 4A 24 (1-6) CR Kennedy           4A 15 (5-2) Cedar Falls           13.21  87%
10/17 4A 10 (4-3) Ames                 4A 36 (3-4) Des Moines East      -34.01 100%
10/17 4A  5 (7-0) Bettendorf           4A 22 (4-3) Dubuque Senior       -24.96  98%
10/17 4A 44 (0-7) Davenport West       4A 13 (5-2) Eldridge North Scott  58.57 100%
10/17 4A  2 (6-1) Waukee               4A 20 (6-1) Fort Dodge           -35.32 100%
10/17 4A 45 (1-6) Davenport North      4A 14 (4-3) Iowa City West        59.06 100%
10/17 4A 46 (0-7) Des Moines North     4A 16 (5-2) Sioux City East       65.56 100%
10/17 4A 30 (3-4) Sioux City North     4A  9 (4-3) Southeast Polk        29.45  99%
10/17 4A 34 (3-4) Des Moines Roosevelt 4A  1 (6-1) WDM Dowling           64.87 100%
10/17 4A 11 (6-1) Marion Linn-Mar      4A 32 (3-4) Waterloo West        -21.13  96%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

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