Week 5 Rankings

 Week 5 rankings are now posted: http://ia.bcmoorerankings.com/fb/2010/week5/ Notes: 1. Class 3A-8 rankings are unbiased, 100% this year’s scores. 2. Class 4A rankings use regional-parity bias: average of teams in western Iowa = average of teams in MVC = average of teams in MAC. Continue reading →

weeks 0 – 4 predictions

 I’ve done some work in the off-season to improve that quality of week 1 to week 3 predictions. In these weeks there are not enough connections between the teams for an unbiased model. Thus some sort of bias needs to be introduced to be able to compare all teams. The best bias discovered so far […] Continue reading →

4A Notes After Week 4

 Here are some thoughts on the 4A top 10. Probabilities listed as based on the current computer rankings. Probabilities and future records are the result of me doing some mental arithmetic and looking at a standard-normal-distribution table. R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod 1 WDM Dowling CIML ( 5- 0) 196.66 2 CB Lincoln […] Continue reading →